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Florida Absentee Ballot update, 10/04/2016
10/04/2016 | self

Posted on 10/04/2016 6:56:13 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas

Here is the latest on Florida Absentee Ballot requests (REPs lead in this category by 79,000 in 2012) - units are millions.

10/04/16: REPs - 1.062M, DEMs - 0.925M, lead of 137,000 for REPs

10/03/16: REPs - 1.033M, DEMs - 0.896M, lead of 137,000 for REPs

10/02/16: REPs - 1.029M, DEMs - 0.884M, lead of 145,000 for REPs

09/30/16: REPs - 1.016M, DEMs - 0.873M, lead of 143,000 for REPs

09/29/16: REPs - 0.997M, DEMs - 0.857M, lead of 140,000 for REPs

09/28/16: REPs - 0.978M, DEMs - 0.838M, lead of 140,000 for REPs

09/27/16: REPs - 0.933M, DEMs - 0.801M, lead of 132,000 for REPs

For Hillsborough [battleground/swing county] (DEMs had a lead of 20,000 in 2012 early voting - that's absentee ballots and in person early voting):

10/04/16: REPs - 71,200, DEMs - 73,601, lead of 2,401 for DEMs

10/02/16: REPs - 70,852, DEMs - 73,091, lead of 2,239 for DEMs

09/29/16: REPs - 70,437, DEMs - 72,450, lead of 2,013 for DEMs


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; 2016swingstates; fl2016
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REPs won the Absentee Vote in 2012 by 79,000.

The DEMs won the In Person Early Voting in 2012 by 247,000.

Combined, the DEMs won total Early Voting in 2012 by 167,000

REPs are outperforming 2012.

1 posted on 10/04/2016 6:56:13 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Interesting, thanks.

Hard to believe the Dems will be able to get out the vote in 2012 numbers this year.


2 posted on 10/04/2016 6:59:22 AM PDT by marktwain
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To: marktwain

When does in-person early voting start?


3 posted on 10/04/2016 7:07:45 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: marktwain

I put nothing past the Clintons...they are ruthless, cheaters and liars. I am sure they have their backup ballots in PA, OH, and FL. I hope Trump is on this...seems like he didn’t realize Hitlery would cheat at the debate.


4 posted on 10/04/2016 7:08:13 AM PDT by Blue Turtle
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To: SpeedyInTexas

So those are daily ballot count? So the Republicans must be ahead by 800,000 ballots by now, correct?


5 posted on 10/04/2016 7:14:58 AM PDT by MNDude (God is not a Republican, but Satan is certainly a Democrat.)
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To: mrs9x

I believe the last week of the month, from the 24th to 29th probably depending on county in Florida.


6 posted on 10/04/2016 7:15:10 AM PDT by erlayman (yw)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

But what about the Dead Dems?


7 posted on 10/04/2016 7:18:27 AM PDT by tgusa (gun control: hitting your target.)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Do we KNOW about early voting?


8 posted on 10/04/2016 7:22:26 AM PDT by MrChips (Ad sapientiam pertinet aeternarum rerum cognitio intellectualis - St. Augustine)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Percentages even more stunning: Rs 43-37 in requests, 53-29 in actual returns.

Given the incredible number (almost 1.1 million in, over 25% of all Rs who voted in 2012)


9 posted on 10/04/2016 7:23:25 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Are there absentee ballot figures only (not including early in-person voting) for Hillsborough only available for 2012?


10 posted on 10/04/2016 7:23:37 AM PDT by ctpsb
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Where did you find 2012 stats?


11 posted on 10/04/2016 7:28:37 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: MrChips

October 24th through November 6th.


12 posted on 10/04/2016 7:29:20 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: MNDude

Ballot REQUESTS. Not voted ballots.m


13 posted on 10/04/2016 7:30:10 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: MNDude

These are cumulative absentee ballots mailed out. Rs lead Ds in ballots sent out by 137,000. 137,00 is total, not 800,000. Approximately 2.4 million absentee ballots have been mailed out statewide in Florida.

The absentee ballots returned numbers are very small right now. Less than 5,000 absentee ballots have been returned.

I will add tracking of returned absentee ballots once the numbers really start coming in.


14 posted on 10/04/2016 7:30:15 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
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To: mrs9x

Today i think.


15 posted on 10/04/2016 7:30:21 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Lead is slipping since debate


16 posted on 10/04/2016 7:30:50 AM PDT by montag813
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To: SpeedyInTexas

I hope we’re not assuming that just because people are registered Rep/Dem that they will be voting that way.


17 posted on 10/04/2016 7:32:25 AM PDT by Spirit of Liberty (It's morning in America again!)
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To: ctpsb

Sorry, I could not find the number of absentee only ballots for Hillsborough. I could only find the combined (absentee + early in-person voting) number.


18 posted on 10/04/2016 7:33:25 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
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To: MNDude

NO. Be clear: these are REQUESTS and Rs are ahead 137,000 in those.

The RETURNED ballots are listed at tge site and Rs lead those by 1000 (53-29%) but totals are only 4900 returns so far.


19 posted on 10/04/2016 7:34:17 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Ravi

For the statewide 2012 numbers, this article:

http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2012/11/day-before-election-day-outlook-45-have-voted-ds-lead-rs-by-167000-ballots.html


20 posted on 10/04/2016 7:34:34 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
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