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Hurricane Matthew
NOAA/NHC ^ | 1 October 2016 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 10/01/2016 7:00:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: GOPJ

Amazing how far inland those threat areas extend.


721 posted on 10/06/2016 2:51:28 AM PDT by moose07 (DMCS (Dit Me Cong San ) The only thing you should do on the Left is Drive.)
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To: Black Agnes

Nassau is getting walloped.


722 posted on 10/06/2016 2:52:04 AM PDT by NautiNurse (ILLary uses BleachBit to scrub her medical history away...)
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To: SE Mom; NautiNurse

And even IF they survive the storm with a fairly intact house with no flooding there will be NO POWER OR MUNI WATER/SEWAGE for weeks, maybe months. The house we live in right now was w/o power for 4 WEEKS after katrina and muni water for 4 weeks as well. And we’re over 100 miles from the coast. It was a hot, humid, buggy hell w/o even clean sheets after a while. And beanie weenie out of a can gets old. Fast.

The ‘stayers’ are thinking about making it through the storm. It’s the aftermath that sucks bigtime. This neighborhood threw a party when the power came on.

Further south, when the power went out the a/c’s shut off. By the time they got power restored, the heaters clicked on (it was after Halloween and Katrina hit end of August).


723 posted on 10/06/2016 2:53:34 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: Black Agnes

https://twitter.com/ryanelijah/status/783967781394022400

Holy cow if true: “This is stunning to me, Brevard Sheriff’s Office tells us 50% of residents are *ignoring* the mandatory evacuation order. #fox35”


724 posted on 10/06/2016 2:57:13 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: Black Agnes

Send in the choppers to pick up Trump voters...

Seriously, all you wonderful Florida FReepers, best of luck from yankeeland, hope the forecasts are wrong, take good care and stay safe!


725 posted on 10/06/2016 3:03:18 AM PDT by Jim Noble (Rise)
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To: tutstar

A couple of wobbles one way or the other by a pretty good sized storm could seal Jacksonville’s fate one way or the other. Chances of predicting that a day or two before the event would be low,IMHO.
Overall trends can be predicted but its all steering currents and wobbles,IMHO.Overall trends they do as good as they can,last minute wobbles hard to tell.


726 posted on 10/06/2016 3:09:10 AM PDT by rodguy911 (Go Sarah go! America home of the free because of the brave.)
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To: Black Agnes

Is Brevard Co. a location that has avoided direct hurricane impacts forever? Expect that residents are lulled into a false sense of safety for this storm.


727 posted on 10/06/2016 3:10:16 AM PDT by NautiNurse (ILLary uses BleachBit to scrub her medical history away...)
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To: NautiNurse

Lots of FL people are ‘new’ people. I guess?


728 posted on 10/06/2016 3:16:30 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: NautiNurse

Latest recon has eye extrapolated to 939 ish.


729 posted on 10/06/2016 3:18:10 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: NautiNurse
Thank you for this thread once again, NN.

Jim Cantore now reporting live from across the street of my FIL. He and his lady friend have so far decided to ignore mandatory evacuation saying, "we're fine!" Hopefully they change their mind and leave today. If he begrudgingly does evacuate and Matthew decides to head out to sea, I'm fine with listening to my father-in-law say, "I told you so" every day for the rest of my life.

730 posted on 10/06/2016 3:22:21 AM PDT by ZinGirl (kids in college....can't afford a tagline right now)
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To: Black Agnes

https://twitter.com/LiveStormsMedia/status/783975318486933504

Pic of recon plane path/pressure/etc.

If true, RI has commenced.


731 posted on 10/06/2016 3:23:59 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: moose07

People in East Tennessee were hoping that Matthew would throw some rain our way, but it is not going to happen. Rivers as low as the older folks have ever seen, and no sign of rain for another month.


732 posted on 10/06/2016 3:26:00 AM PDT by who knows what evil? (Yehovah saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.com)
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To: NautiNurse
We really have dodged a bullet so far with this storm in the Islamorada area. Key Largo and upper key largo ocean reef remains to be seen. The angle of approach of Matthew to the keys pretty much took us out of much of the action although today we will get 25-30 knots and gusty out of the NE switching to 25 knots out of the west tomorrow dropping to 15 knots by tomorrow night accd. to the NDBC buoy at Mollasses Reef Light off Key Largo.

Meanwhile in Key West everyone is there.

The entire Bahamas fleet is docked there as a safe haven as is every cruise ship in the area,the Coast guard and Navy. The Outer Mole and Key West Harbor is packed with ships.My daughter does cruise ship tours and is up on all this.

733 posted on 10/06/2016 3:26:26 AM PDT by rodguy911 (Go Sarah go! America home of the free because of the brave.)
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To: NautiNurse

To answer your question about major canes and this part of FL:

https://twitter.com/AlexCorderoWX/status/783976460080017408

Will outdo Frances and Jeanne, ‘local winds will exceed those of 2004 storms...’


734 posted on 10/06/2016 3:27:32 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: who knows what evil?

It does show a loop over FL again and into the GOM. Who knows what we’ll be talking about next weekend...


735 posted on 10/06/2016 3:28:21 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: Black Agnes

Ignoring an evac is dumb.The only way they win in that event is if the storm gets downgraded faster than expected and they are on the clean side of the eye.Both are gambles I would not take especially if an evac was ordered.


736 posted on 10/06/2016 3:30:24 AM PDT by rodguy911 (Go Sarah go! America home of the free because of the brave.)
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To: Black Agnes

Anyone who wants to see what a Cat 4 can do, search Google images for hurricane Hazel.


737 posted on 10/06/2016 3:32:49 AM PDT by fredhead (Join the Navy and see the world.....77% of which is covered in water.)
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To: rodguy911

Ditto.

The aftermath is like Mad Max. Why do that deliberately? Especially with kids/old people...


738 posted on 10/06/2016 3:35:06 AM PDT by Black Agnes
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To: rodguy911
Would be very cool to see an aerial view of Key West with all of the vessels in safe harbor.

You've certainly had your share of storm impacts over the years. You deserve respite for this one.

739 posted on 10/06/2016 3:36:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse (ILLary uses BleachBit to scrub her medical history away...)
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To: who knows what evil?

Let’s just hope this oversized bully stays out at sea , as TN is that dry it could cause all sorts of nasty flooding.


740 posted on 10/06/2016 3:39:13 AM PDT by moose07 (DMCS (Dit Me Cong San ) The only thing you should do on the Left is Drive.)
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