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To: dangus

If you have no understanding of margin of error or if you want to pretend there is no such thing, then yes, get yourself all excited.


43 posted on 09/28/2016 10:15:22 AM PDT by FirstFlaBn
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To: All

Now is the time to turn up the heat on the “moderators” for the next two debates: Tweet them, follow them, call them out, put pressure on them AT EVERY STEP and every minute of their lives, let them KNOW we are watching for their shenanigans....


45 posted on 09/28/2016 10:54:10 AM PDT by Maverick68 (p)
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To: FirstFlaBn

Man, are you desperate to shoe-horn a wet blanket! Sorry, loser! If you’d bothered to read what I wrote, you’d see I addressed MoE and how likely this movement is to be meaningful.

And since you’re too stupid to read, I imagine you’re too stupid to know what Margin of Error really means. The fact that Trump’s movement is less than the margin of error does not mean that we know it isn’t real. It means that there is a certain chance that it isn’t real.

Let me put it in real simple terms: If Candidate A has a 4 percent lead over Candidate B, and the margin of error is 4.5%, that does NOT mean that they are tied. It means that there’s about a 90% chance that Candidate A is winning.


46 posted on 09/28/2016 11:37:47 AM PDT by dangus
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