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538 - Who would win the presidency today? [Trump !!!]
fivethirtyeight.com ^ | 26 Sept 2016 | Nate Silver

Posted on 09/26/2016 8:52:09 AM PDT by 11th_VA



TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016polls
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Oh yeah !!!
1 posted on 09/26/2016 8:52:09 AM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

2 posted on 09/26/2016 8:53:08 AM PDT by tcrlaf (They told me it could never happen in America. And then it did....)
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To: 11th_VA

Yeeehaw!!!!


3 posted on 09/26/2016 8:53:36 AM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57, returning after lurking since 2000)
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To: 11th_VA

What is it about being around water, save New Mexico & Colorado, that makes these areas so blue/ignorant?


4 posted on 09/26/2016 8:54:03 AM PDT by Road Warrior ‘04 (Molon Labe! (Oathkeeper))
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To: 11th_VA

if one listens carefully they can hear the slow splat of liberal brains dripping from the rafters.


5 posted on 09/26/2016 8:54:13 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: 11th_VA

This is BS on Nate Cardboard’s part, because he refuses to flip Colorado to red. He literally recooked the state polls “house methods” hours ago, to help Hillary.

https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald/comments/54kkhs/pathetic_nate_plastic_from_538_btfo_caught/


6 posted on 09/26/2016 8:54:17 AM PDT by Voluntaryist
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To: 11th_VA

Clinton chance of winning: 51.8% Trump chance of winning: 48.2%

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3473581/posts


7 posted on 09/26/2016 8:54:44 AM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump/Pence; Trump/Pence; Trump/Pence 100%)
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To: Bushbacker1
What is it about being around water, save New Mexico & Colorado, that makes these areas so blue/ignorant?

Don't forget Benie's State - Vermont!

8 posted on 09/26/2016 8:56:17 AM PDT by SES1066 (Quality, Speed or Economical - Any 2 of 3 except in government - 1 at best but never #3!)
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To: HarleyLady27

That’s an old map


9 posted on 09/26/2016 8:56:31 AM PDT by 11th_VA (No Quarter for 'NeverTrumpers')
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To: 11th_VA

Oh come on lib. Natie. Don’t you remember the microscopic chance for Trump? You had Trump at 3% winning and 97% chance losing. LoL.


10 posted on 09/26/2016 8:56:43 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: 11th_VA

Then why post it?


11 posted on 09/26/2016 8:57:00 AM PDT by HarleyLady27 ('THE FORCE AWAKENS!!!' Trump/Pence; Trump/Pence; Trump/Pence 100%)
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To: 11th_VA

Liberal’s heads exploding...


12 posted on 09/26/2016 8:57:13 AM PDT by Drango (A liberal's compassion is limited only by the size of someone else's wallet.)
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To: 11th_VA

No it’s not, one map is if held today, the other is for Nov 8 prediction.


13 posted on 09/26/2016 8:58:08 AM PDT by Voluntaryist
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To: 11th_VA

Nate’s next best seller - How I stayed relevant from 3% chance to Trump’s victory! (Actually, it might not be a best seller!)


14 posted on 09/26/2016 8:59:15 AM PDT by SES1066 (Quality, Speed or Economical - Any 2 of 3 except in government - 1 at best but never #3!)
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To: Voluntaryist

OK - my bad


15 posted on 09/26/2016 8:59:54 AM PDT by 11th_VA (No Quarter for 'NeverTrumpers')
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To: Mariner

..if one listens carefully they can hear the slow splat of liberal brains dripping from the rafters...

Or, popping like a kid squeezing bubble wrap.


16 posted on 09/26/2016 9:00:17 AM PDT by Sasparilla (Hillary for Prison 2016)
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To: SES1066

ROFL! He’s probably almost finished writing it :)


17 posted on 09/26/2016 9:00:41 AM PDT by Voluntaryist
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To: Mariner

if one listens carefully they can hear the slow splat of liberal brains dripping from the rafters.

Oh I can attest to that being behind enemy lines.....

Its usually like being at a movie here but everyone silent.

I am loving it but wake up Trumpsters we have a battle ahead of us.


18 posted on 09/26/2016 9:02:33 AM PDT by Uversabound (Our Military past and present: Our Highest example of Brotherhood of Man & Doing God's Will)
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To: 11th_VA

My simple minded analysis of the Nate Silver projection.

Hillary has a string of must win states where she has a narrow lead.

Trump has a string of must win states where he has bigger and growing leads.

When you run this through the 538 roulette wheel a few thousand times you find that Trump wins more often than Hillary.


19 posted on 09/26/2016 9:04:33 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you should have endorsed. Big mistake.)
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To: 11th_VA

They forget to give Trump one elector from Maine....he accually has 278 electoral votes instead of 277 on their map


20 posted on 09/26/2016 9:04:48 AM PDT by thingumbob (I'm a bitter clinger...I dare you to take my gun)
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