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To: Hieronymus
Yes, he does. He was bought by the NYT after 2008. He built an extensive database of polling company history VS. actual results.

But as I said in post 11, he's effectively calling the other polls politically manipulated if he feels he has to flip most of the Florida polls from Clinton to Trump. It's not just one poll here and there, it's most of the Florida polls by different firms.

What does one make of that? How does one accept Silver's adjustments without publicly calling out the polling company to respond and defend their original numbers?

I'm not hearing anyone dispute Silver's adjustments. I'd expect some of the more reputable polling companies to complain and push back to defend their own accuracy.

-PJ

15 posted on 09/26/2016 6:57:36 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too (If you are the Posterity of We the People, then you are a Natural Born Citizen.)
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To: Political Junkie Too

Looks like the only change from 2004 is Virginia. If Trump can somehow get NM to his side, it’s over.


20 posted on 09/26/2016 7:07:49 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Trump will win New York.)
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