Posted on 09/26/2016 4:43:24 AM PDT by Helicondelta
I do expect her to be there though. She actually needs this debate way more than Trump does. It's risky for her but she's gambling that Trump can be baited into making a colossal blunder tonight. That's her only hope to catch up and she'll have the moderators in her corner to help make that happen.
All Trump needs to do is maintain his composure, stay on message, and he has this.
If she was ahead in the polls, she would find a reason to get out of the debates entirely and would sit on her lead.
I’m pretty sure there was one in between - last week, that had Trump up by 2
Trump holding at +4 in our favorite LA Times poll
I’m tuning in to watch HER. I am hoping to see her polish the floor with her face!
I’m pretty sure there was one in between - last week, that had Trump up by 2
I checked the realclearpolitics list again. You are correct (9/21 - 9/24) Trump was up +2.
Et tu, Bloomberg?
Welcome aboard!
At this point, my biggest concern is that no matter what happens tonight they will skew the polls to show a Hillary bump.
Looking at the numbers, they undersampled women and Hispanics. On the other hand, they asked a number of leading, politicized questions toward the end of the survey. It was a push poll at that point. No doubt about it.
Male/Female 50/50
Hispanic 10%
Hillary didn’t rise to the top, she is riding her sexual predator husbands coatails!
She couldn’t have been elected dog catcher if she were not his wife.
Yes, but we are getting really good at analyzing the internals and exposing the skew/bias.
Their next step will be to falsify the internals!
“Their next step will be to falsify the internals!”
I would think that if they willfully mislead about their internals and methodology they would be liable for a lawsuit for fraud. IMHO, considering how much polls are used to influence the political landscape, it’s way past time for a law to be passed that mandates each polling firm to publish their methodology and statistical analysis with each poll, and to be liable for huge fines and possible criminal prosecution for fraud if they provide false information.
If, in fact, Donald is within one point in Penn, Hillary is in serious trouble. Just last night the rats were whistling past the graveyard by quoting some old PA polls that had Trump 8 to 10 points down. They took solace that PA was a firewall in the path to 270.
If you ask me, if Penn goes Trump, it is highly probable that both Wisconsin and Michigan are in play as well.
Kennedy's had done it openly. All Kennedy's after JFK were riding his coattails long after he was gone. It was enough to secure popular votes. Of course, to do this, they had to have some modicum of popular appeal. Hillary has none of it. No popular appeal. She can ride only backroom coattails.
The pollsters realize that this is crunch time, so the propaganda has to stop. The polls will now reflect what was true all along: Trump is winning.
Nah... still lots of propaganda when the samples in some re D+9 or D+10.
VA appears to be going Trump.
Hillary just pulled ads from there and from CO.
Trump owns the map!
“NBC/WashPost: The most widely quoted poll in international media. Both domestic and international media is against him.”
Might account for why the U.K. betting site predictit.com still has odds against Trump winning at 3 to 2, and they have not moved much in the last 3 weeks, even with the vast majority of swing-state and national polls consistently trending towards a Trump victory.
Either the Europeans are deluded fools, or big-bux Hillary shills are betting on her to manipulate the odds.
Either way, it’s a great bet, and I’ve bet enough to cover my campaign donation to Trump, which BTW is the maximum allowed under Federal law for an individual. I figure if I lose, our country is gone anyway, so what difference does it make. If I win, my campaign donation to Trump is all the sweeter because I stole that donation from fools or tools.
Monmouth has Hillary up 4. Also saw a Florida poll with her up 2.
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