Nate Silver is an IDIOT! The reason he was so accurate last time was because he got polling data from the Obama admin!
Look what happens when he doesn’t? TRUMP has a 5% chance of being the Republican nominee! HAHAHAHAHAHA
Yes, SIlver said that. But when? He was admittedly doubtful about Trump, but also eventually modified his position.
RIght now he has trump at 43.2% chance to win. Same date 2012 he had Mittens at 20.3% chance. He, or his model, thinks Trump is a great deal better off than Mittens.