[CatOwner]

How much would this change if the numbers were normalized for D+4?

[NYRepublican72]

How much would this change if the numbers were normalized for D+4? It would roughly be Trump +4. Here's the actual D/R/I amongst registered and likely voters, buried of course in the second-to-last paragraph of the ABC article. "This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Sept. 19-22, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, including 651 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect, for the full sample, and 4.5 points for likely voters. Partisan divisions are 33-23-36 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents, in the full sample, and 37-27-28 among likely voters."

[Helicondelta]

“if the numbers were normalized for D+4?”

Why is D+4 “normal”?

In the midterms two years ago it was an even split between dems and reps (36-36-28).

In 2012 when Obama won it was D+6.

I wouldn’t be surprised if republicans beat dems in turnout this year.

D+10 in this poll is obviously absurd. Hillary won’t overperform Obama. This gives her a false sense of comfort. Her stupid handlers probably believe the poll is accurate.