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1 posted on 09/22/2016 3:42:54 AM PDT by PapaBear3625
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To: PapaBear3625

The Trump number seems to be declining by the day.


2 posted on 09/22/2016 3:44:11 AM PDT by Theodore R. (Trump-Pence, 2016)
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To: PapaBear3625

The other polls will show him moving up.


3 posted on 09/22/2016 3:46:30 AM PDT by ConservativeMind ("Humane" = "Don't pen up pets or eat meat, but allow infanticides, abortion, and euthanasia.")
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To: PapaBear3625

This is one of a number of polls which are all going to be different.


4 posted on 09/22/2016 3:46:40 AM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: PapaBear3625

It has been a busy week—new terrorist attacks, non-response from Clinton and Obama, Clinton still breathing but sick and sidelined, now riots in Charlotte. While all reflect poorly on Clinton and Obama, I think the news is likely overwhelming to a lot of people and those not already engaged in the campaign are kind of holding their breath. The debate next week will bring the campaign back in focus. Until then, I suspect both campaigns will stay in the margin of error.


9 posted on 09/22/2016 3:50:56 AM PDT by Reno89519 (It is very simple, Trump/Pence or Clinton/Kaine. Good riddance Lyn' Ted, we regret ever knowing you)
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How the hell is Hillary recovering? What has she done & what has TRUMP done badly?


12 posted on 09/22/2016 3:58:58 AM PDT by KavMan
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To: PapaBear3625

I know that many are encouraged by this poll, but I think this poll showed Romney ahead in 2012. Let’s hope all the polls are underestimating Trump like all those polls that underestimated Brexit - by 8 points.


13 posted on 09/22/2016 4:00:17 AM PDT by profit_guy
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To: PapaBear3625

At this point, there appears to be no way to get the thumb suckers and bed wetters here at FR to ever understand or admit that the polls are pure unadulterated bullshiite. Trump is not now, nor has he ever been, behind in this race, since the beginning of the primaries to this very day. Any poll that asserts otherwise is complete and utter bullshiite.


18 posted on 09/22/2016 4:15:30 AM PDT by DrPretorius
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To: PapaBear3625

Need a bigger lead


25 posted on 09/22/2016 4:46:30 AM PDT by Ray76
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To: PapaBear3625

This is the reason for the decline. They decided to change their methodology.

Update: As of Monday September 19th, the Daybreak Poll’s charts will reflect a change in the way we compute the “area of uncertainty” represented by the gray band in each chart. This change means that candidate votes that are about 5 or 6 percentage points apart will be shown to be statistically significant (depending on sample size and how much variation there is in the voting). Our previous calculations required an interval of +/5.5 percentage points for significance in our election forecast, which we have determined was too conservative. We have adjusted the interval in the charts, and in the data provided in the poll’s csv files accordingly.


29 posted on 09/22/2016 4:54:26 AM PDT by jpeg82
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To: PapaBear3625

Yikes!!! Numbers are going the wrong way


33 posted on 09/22/2016 5:28:35 AM PDT by jokemoke
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To: PapaBear3625

It’s all good, folks.

Trump is +5 in the Rasmussen today! :-)


36 posted on 09/22/2016 5:37:05 AM PDT by ScottinVA
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To: PapaBear3625

This morning’s news put Trump at +5 in NC. Which is more in line with what I’d expect.


37 posted on 09/22/2016 5:45:14 AM PDT by wbill
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To: PapaBear3625
The most troubling part of this poll is the question "Who do you think will win?" Hillary has always been far ahead in that measure, meaning that a large number of Trump voters don't think he will win.

I don't want that perception to become the reality.

39 posted on 09/22/2016 5:49:59 AM PDT by Tanniker Smith (Rome didn't fall in a day, either.)
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To: PapaBear3625

States poll.com which looks at samples for real world breakdowns, adjusts this to just over 5 today-—right where Rasmussen is.


48 posted on 09/22/2016 7:04:59 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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