Trump would need to make up those votes somewhere else-I really think he needs to be targeting blue states like Oregon and Michigan-and perhaps even Minnesota and Wisconsin-which are receptive to his message.
Trump wins
He Is causing Hillary to expand Treasure Securing Wisco, Va, Co, and Pa. These Should Be solid Dems.
She Is also weak in entire NE, including NY.
Trump will win Michigan, Iowa, Ohio, Arizona, Nevada
IA + CO + ME2 well outweigh VA, but I think Trump will get NM too (+5 more)