Posted on 09/21/2016 12:37:30 PM PDT by xzins
Who will win Florida's 29 EVs?
Current Projection: Trump +0.1, Weak GOP Gain Updated September 21, 2016
Race Overview
Updated September 12, 2016 - The Sunshine State is painted pink today after a pair of polls pushed the aggregate average just barely into Trump territory. Five polls have been released in September, and they all show a very competitive race here. Trump's advantage is thanks to a JMC Analytics poll giving him a 4-point edge. The other four polls all show the margin at 1 or 2 points or tied. As always, the drama will be thick in Florida on election night.
| Latest Polls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Firm | Dates | Clinton | Trump | Johnson | Stein | Spread |
| EP Poll Average | 43.3 | 43.3 | 6.0 | 1.4 | Tie | |
| Monmouth University | 9/16 - 9/19 | 46 | 41 | 6 | 1 | Clinton +5 |
| NY Times/Siena | 9/10 - 9/14 | 41 | 40 | 9 | 2 | Clinton +1 |
| CNN/ORC | 9/7 - 9/12 | 44 | 47 | 6 | 1 | Trump +3 |
| CBS News/YouGov | 9/7 - 9/9 | 44 | 42 | 5 | 2 | Clinton +2 |
| JMC Analytics | 9/7 - 9/8 | 42 | 46 | 3 | 1 | Trump +4 |
| Quinnipiac | 8/29 - 9/7 | 43 | 43 | 8 | 2 | Tie |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | 9/4 - 9/6 | 43 | 44 | 5 | 1 | Trump +1 |
| Click here for all Florida President Polls | ||||||
They call it a weak GOP gain at .1%, but it’s still a gain.
The news is calling Florida against Trump when all the rally attendance says otherwise.
Please throw out Monmouth :)
I hope all those ex-Cubans will turn out the vote for Trump.
Most of them know what communism is like first hand and they recognize a communist, when they see one: Hillary Clinton.
He’s 1 chad ahead.
Don’t remind me. I’d hate to go through that again, but I wish we still had a paper trail.
I was watching a program on “The Smithsonian Channel” about Florida and they mentioned that the media falsely predicted Bush as the winner then had to retract it.
I almost shouted at the screen that it was Gore! I thought that someone would phone them and tell them they looked stupid.
A few days later they repeated the program and still claimed the wrong thing.
They do that on purpose both nationally and state-by-state. They will have an outlier strongly in Clinton’s favor and that will skew the averages for weeks.
They call Texas as weak Trump. I’d throw these guys out.
Though I don’t have the energy to do the research, it would be interesting to see the “unweighted” results of all the raw data combined into a single sample.
Want your head to explode. Limbaugh today reported on a study done where 5 top polling firms had the same exact p[ollng data provided to them, they came up with 5 different conclusions, 1 of the 5 showed a different winner and furthering maddening to this, there was a large std deviation. So more like firms were like +1 Trump, +1 Hillary, +4 Hillary, + 7 Hillary and +3 Trump. All from the same data. No throw in they all have their own source data...you see how this is a useless to even track momentum
It must be Charlie Crist vowing for Mrs. Bill’s “honesty” that has moved FL back to the Mrs. Bill camp.
Probably that "Aerial America" show where they fly over all the states. They insert their leftist political BS on that show all the time. I particularly loved their recounting the "hands up; don't shoot" saga of St. Michael "the Gentle Giant" Brown when they flew over Missouri.
I would imagine hefty majorities for Mrs. Bill in Dallas, Austin, Houston, San Antonio, and El Paso lead to that projection. Large TX cities are heavily Democrat and “single payer” in orientation.
They often do not make a difference in Texas.
You attend a Trump rally with 10,000 others, don’t get in, and stand in the overflow area, pretty dang happy if only to be able to tell your grandchildren and others you went to a trump rally, part of what started it all.
You sign up for a Hillary Clinton rally, 137 people show up, and she cancels.
I wonder who gets the most support post event.
It is impossible for Trump to be getting this kind of enthusiastic support, and only be tied.
Something simply doesn’t make sense.
I think a head count would be an excellent factoid to have this time at each polling station.
If 2183 people walked in the doors, and 5297 votes were counted, it could indicate a problem. Of course the Left has adopted Louis Farrakhan’s Modern Math, so it wouldn’t be a readily noticeable problem for everyone.
Yes, that was the one.
They spent 55 minutes on the peninsula then the last five covered the panhandle.
Pretty short shrift considering Tallahassee is the Capital, Pensacola is the home of naval aviation and Eglin is the world’s largest air force base.
In 2012 obama got more votes in several FL precincts than there were registered voters. If crap like that happens again Trump's reaction will be VASTLY different than milquetoast Mittens was.
But how much longer can Tyler, Lubbock, Amarillo, San Angelo, Midland, New Braunfels, etc. keep outvoting the largest cities?
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