Nate will predict “Trump has 100%” chance of winning, come November 9th.
Nate has also predicted there is a 0-100% chance of rain today.
Who cares about a constantly moving target?
Clown Nate is soooo conflicted
He so wants to give Hillary 99% chance of winning but he also knows Professor Helmut Norpoth’s prediction of a TRUMP win so he has to thread lightly LOL
He’s got his schtick and making a lot of money with it... unfortunately when it comes to politics he’s biased, and obviously biased.
Go look at Trump’s trending line on his forcast page... Notice anything that happened on 9/1?
Suddenly the linear trajectory of Trump’s growth changed noticeably... even though every indicator has been since mid August Trump has not only gotten momentum, but its been growing... Even when Hillary had the worst weekend of the season from 9-9 to 9-11 he has still kept his prediction trajectory at a lower rate... why?
Simple, he’s fudging the numbers, he clearly changed his algorithm on 9/1 to make Hillary’s collapse look as bad as its been.
He’s not completely in the tank, like many others, but its clear he has biases and they are appearing in his “analysis”.
If anything since September, Trump’s odds of winning have been growing far faster then they were in August, but if you look at Nate’s “analysis” he’s consistently shown int growing at a slower rate since 9/1.
At this point Trump has clearly overtaken Hillary... anyone presenting any analysis showing otherwise is lying and manipulating. Now should Trump have a bad debate performance that might change, but short of that, he’s in the drivers seat from hear to November 8th.
Nate Silver is a CAPO JINO! You need not go any further than that!