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Clinton Maintains Lead; Tight Race for Senate (FL, Clinton +5)
Monmouth University ^ | 9/20/16 | Monmouth University

Posted on 09/20/2016 11:34:23 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT

West Long Branch, NJ - Hillary Clinton holds a 5 point lead over Donald Trump in the crucial swing state of Florida. This is slightly less than the 9 point lead she held in a Monmouth University Poll of Sunshine State voters taken last month. Sen. Marco Rubio is currently locked in a tight race with his Democratic challenger Patrick Murphy, ahead by a statistically insignificant 2 points after leading by 5 in August. The poll also found that voters are skeptical of Trump's recent attempt to draw a line under the Pres. Obama birther controversy.

Among Florida voters likely to participate in November's presidential election, 46% currently support Clinton and 41% back Trump. Another 6% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson and 1% support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, with 5% who are undecided. This compares to Monmouth's August poll which had Clinton at 48%, Trump 39%, Johnson 6%, and Stein 1%.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; 2016swingstates; fl2016
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To: Sarah Barracuda; TigerClaws; combat_boots; Shark24; A CA Guy; detective; advertising guy; ...

Deplorable Anthem - check it out and share. Let’s watch the Views climb!!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lDUwXFvTJfA&feature=youtu.be


21 posted on 09/20/2016 11:42:37 AM PDT by ExTexasRedhead
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

With the bombings in NY & NJ and Clinton’s weak response, maybe Trump can take NY. It’s his city, not the carpetbagger’s.


22 posted on 09/20/2016 11:42:50 AM PDT by Ray76
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

Per the same poll she’s down 4 points in FL from last month.


23 posted on 09/20/2016 11:43:02 AM PDT by Catmom (We're all gonna get the punishment only some of us deserve.)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

If this Country elects a woman like Hillary Clinton then we are a dead Country anyway.


24 posted on 09/20/2016 11:43:46 AM PDT by Hildy
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT
Nate Silver gives Trump a 2% chance of winning Maine. LOL.... Overall, Trump's chances per 538 --- 42%. All he needs is Maine of NH to flip to Trump, and Trump goes over 50%.

He was at 18% just over a week ago... Nate will be a colossal failure this election.

25 posted on 09/20/2016 11:43:48 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

Will you stop!! You’ve been on this board a week and every post you are wringing your hands over something. It’s Monmouth and their pollster Patrick Murray is a well known manipulator of polls. It’s 400 LV’s in Florida with MOE of 4.9. In other words it’s useless. If you want to feel better, Trump halved her supposed lead from last month.


26 posted on 09/20/2016 11:44:45 AM PDT by usafa92 (Trump 2016 - Destroying the GOPe while Making America Great Again!)
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To: ThinkingBuddha
Didn't believe Clinton up 9 30 days ago sure as shooting don't believe plus 5 today.

Monmouth is a junk university like Quinnipiac, Muhlenberg etc. Their polls are unless

27 posted on 09/20/2016 11:45:06 AM PDT by Kozy (new age haruspex)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

That’s why Charlie Crist called her honest in a debate and the whole room laughed their butts off.


28 posted on 09/20/2016 11:45:28 AM PDT by struggle (The)
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To: Ray76

That’s a tall order. NY poll out today, Hillary up by 21 points in a Siena Poll (taken 9/11 - 9/15, pre-bombing)


29 posted on 09/20/2016 11:45:59 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT
Anyone have a sense of what's going on? Outliers?

It could be tightening up a bit. But I'm not sold on the Monmouth Poll's numbers. The trendline is favorable to Trump and also Rubio's tiny lead isn't in line with most other polls. Trump had a day or two of less than flattering press so that could also be it, but these polls don't mean too much because Monday is the debate and that's a major inflection point on the race.

30 posted on 09/20/2016 11:46:37 AM PDT by No Dems 2016
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To: usafa92

So we ignore posts that are outliers? Didn’t we do that in ‘12?


31 posted on 09/20/2016 11:46:52 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

Mitt was never ahead in late September 2012 in ANY reputable poll.

Trump is ahead in two of them.

Relax and quit worrying.


32 posted on 09/20/2016 11:48:31 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/08/22/monmouth-university-pollster-patrick-murray-busted-manipulating-poll-data-then-lying-about-it/


33 posted on 09/20/2016 11:48:39 AM PDT by Voluntaryist
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To: goldstategop

Not worrying. I’m very positive on Trump. I think he’s the ONLY candidate of the 16 that would even have a chance... This poll just came out, so wanted to have people opine on it.


34 posted on 09/20/2016 11:49:45 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: Voluntaryist

Excellent find. Thanks


35 posted on 09/20/2016 11:50:30 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

In 2012 we ignored evey poll and got burned. Trump is clearly ahead in Florida. Monmouth has an agenda and the data is bs. What is annoying is your constant handwringing. There’s 7 weeks left and our guy is looking very good right now.


36 posted on 09/20/2016 11:52:06 AM PDT by usafa92 (Trump 2016 - Destroying the GOPe while Making America Great Again!)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

This poll is at odds with most of the others. Disregard it.


37 posted on 09/20/2016 11:52:57 AM PDT by Uncle Sam 911
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It’s all going to come down to the first debate. I had a thread about this a couple of weeks ago. If they say non-stop that Trump lost the election last night or they keep replaying a clip and the debate is really biased, and Trump can’t overcome it, then he’ll be in trouble. If he does well, then he should continue to surge in the polls.


38 posted on 09/20/2016 11:53:22 AM PDT by TakebackGOP
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

Only 400 polled

36%D 34%I 32%R

55% Women


39 posted on 09/20/2016 11:54:00 AM PDT by struggle (The)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

Patrick Murray is one of the more dishonest pollsters.

But even he sees Hillary’s numbers trending downward.

Not good even when you rejigger party ID to keep her in the lead.


40 posted on 09/20/2016 11:54:07 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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