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To: PapaBear3625

Two “internals” caught my eye. One being the most recent “first day” influx of African American support for Trump expired (first uptick was on 9/12). That sample is not in the 7-day average mix any more. The other is a drop in support among 18-25 year olds.


3 posted on 09/20/2016 4:24:33 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: Cboldt

The nature of this poll is such that the days falling off the seven day average matter almost as much or more than the days being added. Currently the days falling off are among the best days in the history of the poll for Trump. So unless the days added are equally spectacular, the poll is going to tighten. And by spectacular, I mean the data specific for the day has to be MUCH better than the seven day average number that actually gets published, because that’s what it takes to significantly shift a seven day average of numbers.


38 posted on 09/20/2016 5:31:32 AM PDT by Rokke
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To: Cboldt

And Cbolt, I know you were already aware of what I just posted. I just thought it might be a helpful reminder to the thread.


39 posted on 09/20/2016 5:33:19 AM PDT by Rokke
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To: Cboldt

Maybe they liked what happened saturday night in NYC It gives the a sense of danger /s

This race is FAR from over.

But the country isn’t. Trump has to win.


40 posted on 09/20/2016 5:34:31 AM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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