How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote

FiveThirtyEight ^ | September 15, 2016 | David Wasserman

[only1percent]

Here’s what I worry about: a narrow EC victory, accompanied by a (say) 46%-44% popular vote loss, with the third party candidates getting 10% of the vote, with the corporate media and the GOPe unreconciled to Trump, and Republicans holding 26 or 27 House delegations.

A fair handful at least of the Electors will be GOPe stalwarts — NOTHING keeping them from defecting in favor of some plausible #NeverTrump like Romney, McCain, Cruz or Bush, or even a low-commitment Trump endorser like Rubio.

The election then goes to the House with enough #NeverTrump GOP majority states to keep Trump from being elected, or even possibly a mass defection to elect the spoiler, with the backstop of a deadlock letting Vice President Pence act as President for as long as the deadlock persists (which could be forever).

[PapaBear3625]

That report turned out wrong....but according to a book I read about it afterward that did some analysis, if that false report had not happened W Bush would have won the popular vote and won Florida by enough that recounts would not come in to play....the whole controversy about hanging chads and the Supreme Court deciding elections could have been diverted.

No, the reality is that the delay in reporting for the pro-Bush districts caused the vote-fraud people in the pro-Gore districts to under-estimate how many votes they had to create to push Gore over the top.

[Liz]

Gore’s book about FLA attributed the legal acuity of Bush atty, James Baker...that every time Gore’s legal team made a move, Baker had already got there. Baker was always two steps ahead of Gore.

Also significant......Baker got the USSC to stop the count....apparently the USSC saw through the perennial Dem practice of counting and recounting the votes until they won.

Dems had also brought into FLA the infamous Chicago Daley Vote Mfg Co.

[HamiltonJay]

Trump is going to win both and By a good margin and Nate Silver will be publishing articles claiming how he was right but got it all wrong.

[mountn man]

(but the more sensible part of knows it would be better if Trump won in a landslide).

Back in '80, Reagan had 50.75,
Carter had 41.1

Todays USC/Dornsife poll had
Trump 47.2
Beyotch 41.3

Trump is moving up, almost at his campaign high of 47.4.
Beyotch is almost at her lowest during the RNC of 40.1

I think it's possible that Trump will be above 50%
Beyotch will probably do around 40%

Trump will be near Reagans numbers.
Beyotch will be below Carters

It'll be a route.