Alabama Alaska etc going from Strongly to likely??? why??
That's what the data says. I don't know why. Perhaps because they're smaller states (population-wise) it doesn't take as many people to create a trend in one direction or the other. Electoral-Vote.com considers a state to be "likely" if the margin between the candidates is 5-9%. Ten percent or more is considered "strong." Here's the data for those two states:
| Date | State | Trump | Clinton |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/25 | Alabama | 61% | 38% |
| 9/15 | Alabama | 51% | 42% |
| 8/25 | Alaska | 55% | 42% |
| 9/15 | Alaska | 38% | 31% |