POLLING METHODOLOGY
Our philosophy about which population to use depends on the election, but we are generally comfortable with a “likely voter” model (as opposed to a “registered voter” model) for most elections. For this poll, we chose a sample of likely households residing in Florida for an automated poll, and there were 700 completed responses to six poll questions.
do questions used to discern Likely Voters, like “Do you know where your polling station is?” “Did you vote in the last election?” tend to eliminate first time voters?