[vooch]

It’s telling that Hillary’s TV adverts are harming her.

I honestly believe Il Ducé will eek out a win in both NY (29) and NJ (14). In NYC, he is polling 20% of Black vote, add in the deplorables in Outer Boros, LI, & Upstate and NYS is his.

If Hillary loses NYS & NJ, it’s over.

[sparklite2]

Agreed.

[HamiltonJay]

I expect Trump to take any state that D generally don’t thane by at least 5. And anything between 5 and 10 is in play.

I think NJ is most likely of the bigger NE states to flip,, but others are possible and if NY does flip Hillary is beyond toast.

[Caipirabob]

Are we seeing indications that NY or NJ are battleground states? I checked polling but could not confirm.

What is certain is that if Trump is getting 15%-20% of the black vote, a total blowout is very realistic and the polling numbers are being fabricated. There's no way Hillary wins if she loses that much of her democrat plantation vote.