[Sooth2222]

"For fun" we can compare the 2016 pattern with 2012.

In 2012, after the Republican convention, with lots of balloons and smiling Republicans promising everything for everyone, Romney took the lead. Then, after the Democrat convention, with lots of balloons and smiling Democrats promising everything for everyone, Obama took the lead. But, unlike Gallup (which in retrospect I believe skewed the poll averages badly), Romney never regained the lead. The final poll had Obama up by 2.6%, he actually won by 3.9%. I'd rather see Trump up by 10% now. But given the choice, I'd rather see Trump up 2.6% now than down by 10% now.

http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/

https://alpdata.rand.org/?page=election2012

[Corpus_Delicious]

So Romney never took the lead again after the convention. Interesting. Also, comparing 2016 with 2012, neither candidate this time has gone beyond the gray band as Obozo did three separate times in September and October.

Another chart here for 2016... http://cesrusc.org/election/