Indeed they are. But if Trump pulls 60% of the popular vote on top of that so much the better.
Did you watch the Farage speech? If you haven’t you really need to. I think it is an important key to Trump winning.
I was only 13 when that election occurred. I was in Connecticut and the area where I grew up was heavily Democratic, white and unionized. A good many of them voted for Reagan because they felt Carter and the Democrats took their vote for granted, and of course we had a lousy national economy too. All this sound familiar? The similiar events are happening today. I won’t predict a similiar election for Trump. The nation’s demographics have changed quite a bit since 1980 so states like Colorado and New Mexico are now Democratic leaning states because of the Latino vote, when they were in the past solidly Republican. It is white working class Americans mostly in the Rust Belt who will play a big part in this election. They are being ignored again by the Democratic Party and will vote in significant numbers for Trump.