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To: Biggirl

Another day of bull$hit polls, neck and neck they scream all day, every day knowing in reality Trump is over 80%.


11 posted on 08/25/2016 4:21:07 AM PDT by Daniel Ramsey
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To: Daniel Ramsey

So many ways to prove polls are propaganda...

1) The so-called Overton Window. 10 years ago or so they began polling on gay marriage ie something not even gays had contemplated. Why do people need an opinion on something so artificial and contrived and false? So that their opinion can be manipulated via mockery and Appeal To Majority in order to shift the Overton Window.

2) The sheer frequency of polls. Data points make up trendlines but too many data points simply constitutes noise. But noise can be manipulated in attempts to create self-fulfilling prophecies: ‘Trump’s gaining...Trump’s slipping....if Trump doesn’t get above XXX% he will have failed....’ etc. etc.

3) The internals. For better or worse pollsters have to give the details of their polls. For better or worse few people look at them. But the methodology is a joke, the sample sizes laughably small, the pollsters’ own estimate of their margin of error even more risible.

4) Weighting. ‘We sweated over getting the numbers right, then we wiped it all out by using voter turnout figures.’ But if voter turnout figures are from a previous election (ie outdated) or based on voter registration then changing the numbers is simply cooking the books.


18 posted on 08/25/2016 5:31:23 AM PDT by relictele (Principiis obsta & Finem respice - Resist The Beginnings & Consider The Ends.)
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