FiveThirtyEight is a wishful thinking commie website:
A trio of political data experts empanelled by FiveThirtyEight for a podcast earlier this month estimated Trump’s chances of snagging the (Republican) nomination at 2%, 0% and minus-10%, respectively.
“If Trump is nominated, then everything we think we know about presidential nominations is wrong,” Larry Sabato, head of the center for politics at the University of Virginia, wrote last week...”
Amen! It's also now down to FourTwentyFive.