Posted on 08/18/2016 9:27:36 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
Donald Trump’s team can use a bit of good news from a poll, and Suffolk’s survey of Nevada might just brighten their day — a bit, anyway. The poll, conducted Monday through Wednesday this week among 500 likely voters, shows Hillary Clinton in the lead, but only by two points, 44/42. Given the trends of the past three weeks, and Nevada’s electoral history, that’s a relatively positive outcome:
A new Suffolk University poll of Nevada voters shows a statistical dead heat in the presidential race, with Democrat Hillary Clinton leading Republican Donald Trump 44 percent to 42 percent.
Clinton’s strong suit appears to be Las Vegas.
“Clark County, which includes Las Vegas, accounts for nearly 70 percent of the statewide vote, and Hillary Clinton’s lead there is the reason she is winning the state,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. “In this instance, what happens in Vegas doesn’t stay in Vegas—it affects the whole state.”
Clinton’s 13-point Clark County lead countered a 3-point deficit in Washoe county and a 46-point deficit in the smaller counties of central Nevada.
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With that in mind, one could suspect this of being an outlier. Nope; the RCP aggregation has showed Nevada to be a virtual tie for weeks. In fact, the polling has remained remarkably stable despite all of the sturm und drang around the Trump campaign since the conventions. The polling downturn for Trump nationally appears to have had no impact in Nevada.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Trump does have property in Nevada, particularly Las Vegas, and he’s considered to be a good employer. Perhaps he’s cutting into the union members who work in the gaming industry.
Down 2? That means in reality, he is up 4 or 5.
hard to assess the meaning unless we have Suffolk poll for same days in other states. i.e. CO IA
if next week, Suffolk shows trump down 4 in CO, what does that mean? comparing 2 polls from different weeks?
Good point.
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