We must remember that a national poll gives insight into the likelihood that different states are in play.
For example, this 2% point difference should bear in mind that a balanced poll will have sampling from every state. With California being the largest state, California should have a large number of their citizens in the poll. Importantly, California is largely democratic. Therefore, a significant proportion of Clinton’s support in the poll is based out of a California that is large in its support of Clinton.
With only a 2% difference, that means that other states, especially purple states, should be closer on average to being nearly tied. So, there are some guesses that aren’t entirely speculation that can be gleaned from a national poll that has the candidates virtually tied.
It says that there’s a good chance a lot of states are tied.
Yeah, in theory, but the state polls in PA, OH, VA and CO have been crap lately. I do think that will change. VA and CO are the two biggest concerns.