Posted on 08/18/2016 3:19:56 AM PDT by Ken H
Trumps’ team is evolving and expanding. Have faith! Hillarys’ team is literally holding her up.
It may be anecdotal but there is a higher percentage of people hanging up on pollsters, and more of them are for Trump. This includes a larger percentage of pro-Trump Republicans. I will hang up on live person calls from any of the five major networks. I will tell any robo call from anyone except Rasmussen and gravis that I am a black female lesbian for Stein. Rasmussen and Gravis I will play it straight as it were. I realize not many have gone into anything like the detail I have but I bet if5% have their own version of this, it would be fun.
The problem in Utah isn’t Clinton. Utah is Mormon first. They even put up a candidate designed to specifically siphon off enough votes to throw Utah. Trump cannot afford, visually, to go to Utah to campaign against a Mormon candidate. He needs PA. He probably wins Utah.
Hillary had 300 +/- at a High School yesterday. Most are too young to vote.
And yet the LSM can sell to some people that Hillary is neck and neck with Trump! What is wrong with those people?
Trump hasn’t given up on Virginia. He’s coming again this Saturday but it’s a small venue, only about 1000.
Different polling organizations.
The issue always becomes, “How do you construct a scrupulously honest poll?” and “How are these polls conducted considering what a scrupulously honest poll would look like?”
This is why we have such a hard time beating the Democrats because of all the Gloomy Gus types who are always convinced we’re gonna lose. This is not a typical campaign and not a typical candidate playing by conventional rules. For three weeks the left and the MSM, with the quiet assistance of the NeverTrumpers, have waged a nonstop attack on Trump. What has it gotten Hillary? A narrow lead at best against a candidate who hasn’t run any commercials, spent little money, and has refrained from attacking. In other words, Trump survived the all out assult that was meant to take him out now not later. It failed and now there is panic in the NeverTrump world because now The Donald is about fire back big time. Hillary has peaked while Trump is just getting started.
I like how he is really going after the black vote. He needs to keep it going. He comes off as genuine....because he is. He can make the case. I am sure a large percentage of blacks who say they are voting Hillary won’t bother. Of course the crooked poll workers will be there to punch the ballot for them. I really think Trump needs to use the fact that neither party wants him to his advantage. People -especially Independents - don’t like politicians in either party. He is the non politician i this race. Keep saying that, Donald!
Trump didn't get where he is by putting it on cruise control.
Here are the exact numbers from the last three election cycles for the two major candidates (Democrat in parentheses)
2004 - 62,040,610 (59,028,444)
2008 - 59,948,323 (69,498,516)
2012 - 60,933,500 (65,915,796)
Pretty consistent turnout for the Republican candidate the past three cycles - right around 60-62 million. You have to think that Trump is going to drive that to 70 million or more considering he will be drawing heavily from those who usually vote Democrat (i.e. white Democrat males). In the end, all those "never Trumpers" are going to come around. They will likely never admit it but so long as they do the right thing when then get in the voting booth, I can live with that.
Personally I think Trump has a shot at winning 75,000,000 votes. This will put him in epic landslide territory.
Yup. The silent majority will vote for Trump. Until then many are just holding their cards close and/or pretending they support Hillary....stay under that radar.
The state polls generally lag the national polls. Hillary got a bump earlier this month, which showed up first in the national polls, so the media trumpeted those. Now that her national lead is fading, the media is naturally going to push the state polls, which still look good for her. Predictable as humidity where I live.
I’m waiting for the Breitbart-inspired negative ads to start hitting the airwaves.
I think CO is gone due to CA immigrants and drugs. I still have hope for VA for two big reasons: Cuchinelli was WAY down with no support and still came within a hair of sinning, and Cantor was way up.
Not that long ago, the sky was falling because Trump ‘wouldn’t break 1200 delegates’ and we were assured a contested convention based on polling. He wound up hitting 1700.
And that's the key difference. I showed up in 2012 and voted for Romney but it was out of sense of duty. I didn't jump out of bed that morning eager to get to the polling place. And then when I got to the polls, I was discouraged to see the lines shorter than they usually are at a presidential election. I knew then that Romney was in trouble as my precinct was heavy on the Republican side. Many people just didn't turn out.
I am so eager to vote this year that I'm going to look into early voting. That way if I happen to drop dead the morning of Nov 8 - at least my Donald Trump vote will have been submitted! And this is coming from somebody who HATES the concept of early voting.
Shake up? I though it was expansion. Lincoln replaced the general who had just won at Gettysburg-—cause he didn’t win enough.
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