“Also, these days, MANY people DO NOT RESPOND accurately to pollsters. There is another factor: The polls now are known to be oversampling democrats in order to get Hillary’s numbers up there.”
If there were evidence that people do not respond accurately to pollsters, it would have little impact on the accuracy of the poll as a person with Opinion A is just as likely to lie to a pollster as a person with Opinion B.
Pollsters do not “over sample” Democrats or Republicans as those answers are not linked to demographic census data.
If you want to see if a demographic group is over sampled, compare age, race, gender and income to the census data for the state being polled.
However, when Group A significantly compromises the data, it will have an effect. I have never seen more people afraid to state their view as this campaign.
I suspect a statistically significant margin and possibly even an anomaly that won’t come into view until the actual poll—the vote.
You could be right, FRIend, however the information I’ve seen suggests otherwise. I guess we’ll know on November 9.
My purpose is to encourage people to not be dispirited by the polls, but to react to them with more determination to get out and vote and take their friends with them, and do what is in front of them to do in order to get our guy elected - despite any polls!
After I left this thread for another, I found this one that encourages me greatly:
Professor North on Fox Biz: Trump has 87% chance of winning...
http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/08/professor-norpoth-trump-87-winning-november-election-video/
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3460359/posts