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To: MichelleWSC3
Author didn't quote the second part, although it was linked:

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/always-correct-election-forecast-model-predicts-trump-win-51-48/article/2599203

""Based on the results of other recent presidential elections, however, as well as Trump's extraordinary unpopularity, it appears very likely that the Republican vote share will fall several points below what would be expected if the GOP had nominated a mainstream candidate and that candidate had run a reasonably competent campaign. Therefore, despite the prediction of the Time for Change model, Clinton should probably be considered a strong favorite to win the 2016 presidential election as suggested by the results of recent national and state polls," he concluded on the Crystal Ball site."

What do I think? I think this is not a normal election year -- but it's interesting to see model-makers second-guessing their own models. I'd wait a few weeks and pay more attention to predictions after Labor Day.

32 posted on 08/13/2016 4:48:14 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Every nation has the government it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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To: Sooth2222

Okay you guys win...Trump has already lost the election so why even vote! Happy now?


36 posted on 08/13/2016 4:52:26 PM PDT by MichelleWSC3
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