Posted on 08/11/2016 5:56:23 AM PDT by Maelstorm
Some polls do the 2-way head to head and the 4-way in same poll, in the most recent ones Hillary’s margin of victory is smaller in the 4-way set.
It seems like Johnson is taking about evenly, somewhat to my surprise, whereas Stein isn’t taking any from Trump. If she can do as well as or a little better than Nader did in 2000 (2.74%), that could very well be the difference. If she could top 5% that would kick @$$.
Terrible news, she was denied ballot access in Nevada, Trump should fund her legal challenge.
Johnson’s choice of running mate and a lot of his positions seem tailor made for the RINO vote to the point of upsetting the actual Libertarians, a lot of those RINOs would go Hillary over Trump, clearly hippy idiots are giving him some support too, the weed/anti-war people. Pretty stinky ticket, I would vote for Johnson if he were the GOP nominee he but presents no temptation whatsoever.
Trump averse Republicans are not a homogeneous group so it’s not easy for a candidate to appeal to all of them. Some are liberal RINOs, some are conservatives, some are neocons and some aren’t. Some are scumbags who are actually voting for Hillary, others hate her and would never vote rat but just can’t bring themselves to vote Trump. They should realize as Pete says that the need to save the country from Shillery’s judges is more important than anything else. There is probably no tomorrow if she replaces half the Supreme Court with 45-year old Maoist Nazis. End of argument as far as I’m concerned.
Re: The Constitution Party, in 2012 they had their best known candidate ever and an unappealing GOP nominee and even considering their weak ballot access they still did PATHETIC in the states where they were on the ballot.
Their appeal is just too narrow for them to rise to the level of the Libertarians or even the Greens. Theocratic paleo-cons basically. The neocons would never vote for them. They are big on protectionism so I imagine many of their activists are going for Trump.
I can’t tell you who will win but Johnson WILL come in third and Stein fourth. No one else will crack 0.5%, Pencil in Castle at fifth but his position there is tenuous. If McMuffin gets on some ballots he could be fifth.
https://ballotpedia.org/Ballot_access_for_major_and_minor_party_candidates
Check out this, they got a neat table of the last time every state had a third party gubernatorial candidate crack 5%.
It has at least one error though, it lists the last time it happened in Maryland as being the victorious Know-Nothing in 1857 (which would be the longest). I immediately recalled that in 1966 a liberal indie did better than 5% against Agnew and the Segregationist rat, almost 10%.
I’m not surprised that Sanders supporters feel rebellious. But I had expected lopsided rebellion against that corrupt witch to make the anti-Trumps look puny.
That’s what I get for expecting common sense and decency in even the Republican base.
Nope, presidential elections can be so high-turnout that low info voters are always the key to winning. That’s the lesson I’m learning — we need to get far more ‘kindergarten’ during prez races and even consider dirty tactics until the education system is free of indoctrination.
But off-year races can be more educational and clean.
One thing I like about Trump’s ‘dirty’ tactics is that they are often shorthand for the truth. Awsome how he does that.
A lot of libs will hold their nose for Hillary. It is the logical thing to do for a Marxist.
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