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To: JohnKinAK

“In reality, it’s the Democrats that do. In 2012, when Barack Obama won only 51% of the vote, it took him winning the black vote 93-6, and it also required historically high turnout from that group.”

I would agree in the sense that Trump makes a concerted effort to publicly identify the lengths to which Hillary’s campaign is courting the black vote. I lived in South FL during 2008 and 2012, and one thing the Democrats did was under the radar GOTV for urban minority voters. Bill Clinton was narrating radio ads running on hip hop stations in Miami, in heavy rotation. He visited Miami frequently, late in the campaign in 2012. No media access, except select urban radio folks. So you get voter activation (Bill Clinton is like heroin for urban minority voters) and you do not antagonize independent, or perhaps conservative Democrat voters who don’t like to be reminded of the existence of Bill Clinton. If the degree to which the Democrats cater to this voting block were realized, there would be a punishing reaction. In other words if the Republicans made them pay for their patronage of the black vote, Hillary could turn up back for from 93-6 to 99-1 at a cost of say 6 points of a much larger group, say white voters or all non-black voters.

Trump is not my guy, and he has been blundering so far. But one of the few bright spots is that he has not felt obligated to pander for the black vote as W did and as Romney attempted. The smart move is not to even try.


24 posted on 08/05/2016 3:42:54 PM PDT by Wally_Kalbacken
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To: Wally_Kalbacken

“Trump is not my guy...”

Free Republic is Trump country, in case you hadn’t heard. You might want to check that sort of talk at the door.


68 posted on 08/05/2016 7:32:18 PM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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