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Why Trump's Bump In The Polls Is More Significant Than Ever
theguardian.com ^ | 25 July 2016

Posted on 07/25/2016 5:21:55 PM PDT by Helicondelta

Three major polls have been conducted since Trump delivered his nomination acceptance speech at the Republican national convention last Thursday (and a fourth poll was conducted from 18 to 24 July, so it included some respondents who might have also heard the speech). All four polls found that Trump was leading over Clinton. Together, they were enough to shift the average in Trump’s favor.

Post-convention popularity bounces have occurred in previous election cycles, too – and they’re not always sustained. But this Trump bump could be different when you consider that Trump is no ordinary presidential nominee. The divisive candidate typically does better in online polling than in telephone polling. That gap suggests that some people who intend to vote for Trump are unwilling to say so when they’re being questioned by a human voice rather than a computer screen. It’s worth noting that in the lead-up to the British referendum about the European Union (another incredibly divisive political issue), online polls consistently got closer to predicting the eventual result than telephone ones did.

Three of the four latest polls that showed Trump ahead of Clinton were conducted via telephone. So, maybe the latest polling boost for Trump isn’t about increasing popularity but about emboldened supporters who now feel more comfortable expressing their voting intent to a stranger.

If that is the case, then maybe we haven’t reached peak Trump just yet.

(Excerpt) Read more at theguardian.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; 2016rncconvention; trump; trumpbump
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To: Albion Wilde
Love your Graphic! thanks for the ping.
I was watching Hannity.
He had Trump,Pence and a great line up.
21 posted on 07/25/2016 9:16:56 PM PDT by djstex (TRUMP MUST WIN or We'll be the END of ANYTHING GREAT ABOUT AMERICA!))
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To: Helicondelta

Thanks for the great information.Good Post!!


22 posted on 07/25/2016 9:17:59 PM PDT by djstex (TRUMP MUST WIN or We'll be the END of ANYTHING GREAT ABOUT AMERICA!))
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To: dp0622

“Dems love to attach that phobic to a lot of things :)”

Yeah that makes all the heterophobic demondogs fell less perverted.

PIAPS is heterophobic, make no mistake about it


23 posted on 07/25/2016 9:39:20 PM PDT by Fai Mao
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To: Fai Mao

I had to look up PIAPS. ROFL!!! Found it in urban dictionary :)


24 posted on 07/25/2016 9:43:11 PM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: comebacknewt
The only thing about the debates is they will all be at least two on one (HRC and the Moderator vs. DJT).

So add in a few more pro-Hillary moderators and make it a fair fight:)

25 posted on 07/25/2016 10:29:44 PM PDT by Ken H (Best election ever!)
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To: lacrew

DT, Melania, and the kids must be watching this convention in the Tower, and laughing their heads off.


26 posted on 07/25/2016 10:34:58 PM PDT by BigEdLB (Take it Easy, Chuck. I'm Not Taking it Back -- Donald Trump)
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To: Fai Mao
PIAPS is heterophobic, make no mistake about it

the hillarhoid and her sycophants need to cool it when they criticize Trump's line "crooked hillary".

Everyone knows hillary ain't straight.

27 posted on 07/25/2016 10:39:07 PM PDT by Vision Thing (ted comitted cruzicide, and the cruzlim death cult had multiple Os over it.)
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To: Ken H

Donald Trump = Warrior


28 posted on 07/25/2016 10:39:55 PM PDT by Vision Thing (ted comitted cruzicide, and the cruzlim death cult had multiple Os over it.)
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To: comebacknewt; lacrew; MinuteGal; LucyT

If you go after the RAT’s latest standards, and the media of rigging the election against Bernie Sanders, you know the polls are rigged too, and Trump possible far ahead than shown !!!


29 posted on 07/26/2016 9:17:25 AM PDT by danamco
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