this choice is making me wonder what Pence really brings to the ticket. Is he supposed to help in both WISC and OH?
Walker, would he have carried his own state or not necessarily? If Walker couldn’t carry WISC, how can Pence?
so it is OH and western PA? and the fundies in IA, CO, etc?
are NH ME CT all in play in a close election?
Pence brings a stable conservative to the ticket. This was very necessary. It was not about helping win a state, it was about helping reassure conservatives in every state and the “party establishment” (and this is not a bad thing). The other 3 finalists were terrible and all could have done harm, Pence does no harm. I grade the choice an A/A-.
I think Walker would carry WI if he was the nominee, as a VP though, I don’t know if he would tip it. It does not appear that Walker was considered.
NH is in play and could be the difference, it’s slightly more rat than the nation so any but the narrowest GOP win (ala Bush in 2004 when it was the 2nd weakest Kerry state after WI, which was stolen) would likely include it. It’s very White so there is reason for hope though I said that last time.
Maine CD-2 MIGHT be in play, but I wouldn’t bet on it. The other E-votes, no way. CT!? Of course not!
I think that, since Ohio borders Indiana, Pence might help Trump win Ohio, but he won’t help in WI, PA, CO, or IA. Trump might win all of those states, but, if that happens, it won’t be because of Pence.
Yes, Walker would have helped Trump win WI.
I think that NH and ME are swing states, but Clinton will easily win CT.