Posted on 07/15/2016 8:55:06 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
As the presidential race moves into a key two-week period, with the announcement of running mates and the party conventions, Donald Trump has taken an apparent slim lead over Hillary Clinton, based on strong support from white voters, particularly men.
That finding, from a USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll, a new survey that begins publication Friday, marks a significant shift in a race that most polls indicated Clinton has led since mid-May.
It comes amid a flurry of other surveys, both nationally and in battleground states, that show support for the former secretary of State declining since last week when FBI Director James B. Comey characterized her handling of classified material while in that office as “extremely careless.” Comey also said her conduct and that of her aides did not clearly violate the law or warrant prosecution.
What isn’t known is whether the new surveys are capturing Clinton at a low that will prove temporary, as voters react to Comey’s criticism and the renewed attention to her use of a private email server, or whether they reflect a more lasting shift that could hobble the presumed Democratic nominee for the remainder of the campaign.
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The poll also offers some support for a prediction that Trump’s backers have made – that he would appeal to disaffected voters who did not cast ballots in 2012. Those who did not vote that year or voted for a minor-party candidate were more likely to favor Trump than Clinton, the poll indicated.
(Excerpt) Read more at latimes.com ...
These terrorist attacks/days of rage acts/black lives matter actions will be her down fall.
Americans/world want someone with huge balls who will put an end to this and Hillary balls never dropped.
Yes, Trump is ahead.
Get used to it.
It does jibe with all other polls.
Yeah, imagine if the movement in the polls was the other direction? Imagine the size of the font of the headlines...
“apparent, itty bitty, eentsy weentsy, tiny winy, slimmest of slim leads, if you even want to call it a lead” lead....
It must be a vast right wing conspiracy.....I’m part of it.
Posted this on another thread - maybe this is where it will get some attention.
I have no idea how dependable this poll is, but I like it;)
MSN - Who do you support in the 2016 Presidential race?
Of 205,758 respondents:
25% Hilary Clinton
59% Donald Trump
8% someone else
8% haven’t decided
I’m starting to think the situation is so dire that Hillary won’t even be able to buy this one by forgiving student loans and passing out freebies. My Millenial daughter has been talking to her Bernie-loving friends, and they are EXTREMELY sour on Hillary. Particularly the girls, who actually seem to GET IT that Hillary was the one who went around enabling her husband to be a philandering rapist and putting down bimbo eruptions with intimidation tactics.
For them to say that, I wonder how BIG it is?
All he has to say is “Elect me and I’ll prosecute Hillary”...
There are lots of fence sitters very wary of Trump...
Pence was a great pick to ease some of their concerns...
And get them out to vote...
It must tie the guts of the puppets at LAT in knots to admit Trump has a slim lead. Because we all know a slim lead is probably a big lead, they always under report Republicans.
LOL :)
Hillary will never be prosecuted. Everyone is getting a pardon on January 19.
I fully expect Obozo to pardon and release every remaining prisoner at Gitmo as his final act of FU to the US.
A few weeks ago, John Leboutillier said that there is a hidden 5 percent for Trump that the pollsters won’t find. This is because some people, more than most in this election, simply will not tell a pollster where they stand.
If this is true Trump is really up 6 %.
Add to that that Newt has said that Hillary will have a very tough time staying above 40% and will settle into the high 30’s for support.
I’m thinking Trump will win by 5-10% with 10% very likely.
These polls, if based on anything other than desire to affect the voting population, aare likely based on the perceived official vote count rather than the prospective actual legitimate vote. They would thus be taking into account what they believe of the Democrat ability to add hordes of spurious voters into the count and to falsify the Diebolds. Granting a “slim lead” might just be a recognition that Trump has as much as 70% of the legitimate vote sewed up, enough that the Democrats will permit a “slim” win in the official count to avoid unrest that could overturn them.
I have to disagree. It seems that the populations of conservatives and liberals are now self segregating, so if you support Trump pretty much all you know are trump supporters, if you are liberal the same is true the other way. As such our local observations of support do not really reflect the larger state picture, as they are self selected populations.
Parsing the polls, voter affiliation lists by state seem to shows that if Trump can win with 51.5/48.5 he is doing great. Really he has an uphill battle, though the winds are at his back. In the 17 states he is focusing on he has issues in each and every one.
it is possible that this will be a realignment election, where the part lines are remade, but if that were going to be I would have assumed that the indications were apparent already. I suppose we will have to wait until labor day, that is when traditionally the polls start to reflect reality.
Personally I think this is an election where there is a clear choice, the electorate can make a real choice on the issues that matter. If Hillary gets elected it means there is no coming back for the US, simply because the electorate has gone off the deep end. But liberals see it the opposite and are doing every thing they can to pull out a victory. They know as well as the right if they can pull it off, even by voter fraud they will be able to continue policies and supreme court picks that will make the next election more or less superfluous.
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