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To: Nicojones

Personally I add 5 points to Trumps numbers when I look at any poll. Between the fact Trump is pulling in disenfranchised voters and Bradley Effect I assume he’s easily about 5 point higher than polls suggest.

Now am I just living in a self created delusion? Perhaps, we will find out in November, but polls showing Hillary with any measurable lead just don’t jive with any other empirical evidence out there.


27 posted on 07/12/2016 5:27:02 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay
There is also a "fraud effect" of about 2.3% on the Democrat side to overcome.

(However, considering a "Trump Effect" and that he's spent close to nothing on ads so far, I'm not discounting the Scott Adams prediction that he'll win in a landslide.)

36 posted on 07/12/2016 5:38:17 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Every nation has the government it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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