Posted on 06/28/2016 8:31:40 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
Battleground state polls show Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton locked in a tight race for the White House with just more than four months to go before Election Day.
Clinton has so far failed to pull away in the 10 states likely to determine the outcome of the 2016 election, even as Trump has suffered through what some political observers describe as the worst stretch they’ve seen a major presidential candidate endure.
Trump in the last few weeks has fired his campaign manager, seen Republicans flee from his campaign and released embarrassingly low fundraising figures.
Yet he is running competitively with Clinton in the states that will decide the winner of the White House after what may be looked back on as the low point of his campaign.
“If we’ve learned anything this cycle, it’s that this is the Donald Trump election and none of the normal rules apply,” Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray told The Hill.
President Obama coasted to reelection in 2012 by defeating GOP nominee Mitt Romney in nine out of 10 battleground states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
He lost North Carolina, which he had won four years earlier.
Heading into the 2016 conventions next month, polls in those 10 states show close races across the board.
The polling suggests Clinton has an edge because she has leads in six of the 10 states, while Trump is only consistently leading in North Carolina.
Clinton’s lead, however, is just a percentage point or two in most of the states.
Clinton’s largest lead is in Wisconsin, a state Democrats haven’t lost in a presidential election since 1984. According to a CBS News-YouGov poll released Sunday, she has a 5-point lead in the Badger State.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
“I admit, it’s not Miami, but everyone I talked to in the Keys liked Trump.”
We live in a condo development in St. Pete Beach. The Trump support is very strong here, i’d say better than 60/40 from people we have talked with in the area for the past 8 months or so. There are no Hillary signs that we can see. Trump is much more visible.
Really? Hmmm. Yet he has “made these mistakes” for 12 months and all it got him was the highest GOP primary vote in history.
I called his nomination last July; missed the final delegate number by 200 on the LOW side; and I think he’s right on track for 320-330 electoral votes.
Maybe he just needs to keep making the same mistakes.
A lot of interesting info out there: Trump actually beat Cankles by 73,000 votes in OH in the primary, even though he came in second to Kay-Sick.
“even though he came in second to Kay-Sick”
That’s what makes me sick about the 2016 race. Kasich could really help put Ohio in the win column for Trump, but he’s being an ***hole.
...None of which have stopped her at any point in her career. The only thing that paused her ascension was B. Obama.
Do not underestimate the stupidity of the left and the center of the US population.
Evangelicals tend to vote 75%+ Republican, Catholics about 50/50, other assorted Protestants 45/55 in favor of Republican. Jews, on the other hand, vote 70%+ for the dems, although Obama did lose 10% of the Jewish vote between ‘08 and ‘12, so hopefully more of them are waking up.
The poll must be somehow skewed. Maybe by intent.
It is interesting that this judge issue seemed to go away. I wonder why.
Wait for the debates. If Trump sticks with the issues, his numbers will go up.
“If Trump sticks with the issues, his numbers will go up.”
I believe you are correct. I would like to see his campaign start running some ads in Florida showing the side of Trump the MSM will not show. How he helped many disabled people, how he helped many military vets, etc.. These stories are out there and they need to show them to the voters.
With your track record on predictions I will expect the opposite to happen 100% of the time.
Boom. This will be a turn out election. Who is going to make any effort to turn out for Hillary unless they’re bribed or dead?
Trump, otoh, turns them out in droves. And independents are tracking with republican voters in supporting Trump.
Never before have polls been so rigged and less reliable. Because never before have the media and establishment been so terrified of a candidate. A lot of people stand to lose control of their little political fiefdoms. And the media will be stripped of it’s wrongfully claimed power.
Small wonder they’re trying so hard to demoralize Trump supporters. Don’t be fooled.
Sadly I think your right. Everyone knows what a power hungry B she is... they simply do not care.
The media continues to push a narrative is that Trump is going through a “rough stretch” but the reality is quite different.
And I will make a prediction: Trump wins Florida easily and the General Election by a landslide.
I travel all over Florida once a month and Trump signs and bumper stickers are everywhere. Only saw one Hillary bumper sticker in 4 months. All the libs I've spoken to were big Bernie supporters but now are disgusted and claim they won't vote if Hillary is the nominee. They just can't stand her.
As far as the Jewish vote, who knows, but I don't believe they will be a deciding factor in this election. Many may still come around to Trump since Trump would be a good friend to Israel plus his daughter is married to a Jew and converted to Judaism.
The only game changer would be if Hillary gets out and some last minute dark horse candidate emerges for the Dems. Then all bets are off.
In my rust-belt state I saw Bernie signs everywhere during the primaries, on front lawns, on car bumpers, etc. I saw a grand total of one Hillary sign. Yet Hillary won my state's primary easily. It wasn't even close.
I hope Trump's campaign realizes that he just can't afford any more mistakes from here on in. Do not feed the media monster.
You make a good point. The same thing happened here in Florida, Hillary won, despite no apparent outward support. That left the Bernie supporters furious and feeling they had been cheated.
You should take comfort however in some interesting facts:
Here in Florida 2,361,805 voters turned out to vote Republican. Of those, 1,079,183 voted for Trump when there 13 candidates on the R primary ballot.
By contrast only 1,709,183 turned out to vote in the Dem primary. Of those, 1,101,414 voted for Clinton with 3 candidates on the D ballot.
As you can see we just need the Republicans to rally 100% behind Trump to bury Clinton once and for all. I also believe Trump is going to pick up many cross over votes from the Dems just as Reagan did.
On another note I have never seen so many black voters (at least here in Florida) be so energized to vote for a rich white guy.
You’re exactly right.
We can and must all do our part, too. yesterday I talked to an older lady who was undecided about Trump. After I explained some things about Hitlery, she is all in for Trump.
But it is important to approach the LIV’s on a personal level. They can’t see the big picture so must be made to see how Hitlery would be so bad for them personally.
By the way - I’ve been wondering - are you the same LS who assured everybody Ohio was in the bag for Romney in 2012?.....
I am the same LS who told ALL of you freaking out with exit polls in 2004 that in fact Bush had already won, and I’m the same LS who predicted right here on FR in AUGUST that Trump would win the nomination with 1300 delegates.
Yeah, I was wrong: Trump will have closer to 1500.
In 2012 I and several others were tracking early voting in OH (Romney lost by 180,000 votes) and I (and many others) saw Republicans way up in early voting over Democrats, who were way down. What we did not know was there was a glitch in Ohio law that “de-registered” the party affiliation of anyone who didn’t vote in that year’s primary. On the surface they looked like “independents” (where Romney led by 6) but the majority were “de-registered Democrats”. Now, if you think that makes any other predictions inaccurate, then you don’t have to read my posts. Your loss.
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