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FEMA Contractor Predicts 'Social Unrest' Caused by 395% Food Price Spikes
motherboard.vice.com ^ | 6/26/2016 | Nafeez Ahmed

Posted on 06/27/2016 7:42:05 AM PDT by rktman

The US national security industry is planning for the impact of an unprecedented global food crisis lasting as long as a decade, according to reports by a government contractor.

The studies published by CNA Corporation in December 2015, unreported until now, describe a detailed simulation of a protracted global food crisis from 2020 to 2030.

The simulation, titled ‘Food Chain Reaction’, was a desktop gaming exercise involving the participation of 65 officials from the US, Europe, Africa, India, Brazil, and key multilateral and intergovernmental institutions.

The scenario for the ‘Food Chain Reaction’ simulation was created by experts brought in from the State Department, the World Bank, and agribusiness giant Cargill, along with independent specialists. CNA Corp’s Institute for Public Research, which ran the simulation, primarily provides scientific research services for the Department of Homeland Security and the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

(Excerpt) Read more at motherboard.vice.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; Philosophy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: fema; foodchain; foodprices; foodsupply; interesting; preparedness; socialunrest
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To: Delta 21

“Lets see..... How can I make a billion dollars off of a “food crisis”?”

Start with 5 billion dollars.

Food crisis? Build 100 desalination plants along Africa’s coastline. Run pipes and infrastructure inland. Plant crops.

Problem solved. Why do people insist things like this are difficult.


21 posted on 06/27/2016 8:28:28 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Edmund/Liawatha 2016. If you are going to lie, lie big.)
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To: ecomcon

bureaucrat = long pig


22 posted on 06/27/2016 8:29:30 AM PDT by piasa
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To: rktman

Just think! If it was only 394% everything would be fine!


23 posted on 06/27/2016 8:34:42 AM PDT by US_MilitaryRules (The last suit you wear has no pockets!)
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To: mainestategop

Wasn’t there a Matt Bracken blog on something like this? I believe his premise was a food war stemming from systematic EBT failure (intentional or accidental), but the price spike would end the same way... with foodstuffs out of reach of hungry consumers


24 posted on 06/27/2016 8:41:29 AM PDT by Coffee... Black... No Sugar (I'm gonna' BICKER!)
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To: Myrddin

They’re talking about a 400% increase in global food prices, not the USes. So what would cause a 75% reduction in global food production?

Interesting. I recently read it was expected a Yellowstone eruption would affect global food production for... ten years.


25 posted on 06/27/2016 8:42:52 AM PDT by Justa
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To: rktman

Some folks in the Washington-New York scam club want to run up commodity prices again.

Farmers and oil drillers are just too productive to make commodity prices high for a long time.

Sorry, you’ll just have to settle for fleecing ordinary folks with overpriced insurance and real estate.


26 posted on 06/27/2016 8:54:39 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: rktman

In the developed world, the only thing that can cause this is a supervolcano eruption, a meteor strike, or socialism. We have the transportation logistics that can reroute food to where it is needed, and our logistics will only get better.


27 posted on 06/27/2016 9:02:35 AM PDT by Vince Ferrer
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To: Myrddin

“A dollar collapse will bring that here”

We will not lack for food and oil. We actually produce those things here.

The Democratic President’s henchwomen will levy domestic production taxes payable in food and oil, so lazy ‘crats won’t lack those either, but you’ll be paying about three-fifths of that 395% for handouts to the ‘crat base.

A dollar collapse will make Chinese stuff and foreign vacations even more expensive.


28 posted on 06/27/2016 9:04:44 AM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: Justa
A few researchers are fairly confident of a little ice age that will impact the 2018 to 2028 time frame based on a solar cycle that involves currents on the surface of the sun going in and out of phase. That could easily result in a large drop in agricultural productivity. Another possibility is loss of water, oil or monetary resources. Whole lakes and rivers have been drying up overnight. The same mechanisms that caused the sudden water disappearance could take subsurface oil. A credit crunch could withdraw the resources needed to grow and/or distribute food. Lots of possible problems. Volcanic activity is only one of many.
29 posted on 06/27/2016 9:09:33 AM PDT by Myrddin
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To: Snowybear

IOW: this crisis occurred in a video game


30 posted on 06/27/2016 9:22:35 AM PDT by Chuckster ("Them Rag Heads just ain't rational" Curly Bartley 1973)
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To: Hieronymus

I’ve heard it said that 82.3% of all statistics are made up on the spot.


31 posted on 06/27/2016 9:22:42 AM PDT by PUGACHEV
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To: Myrddin

But which one of those sudden disappearances comes with a specific duration of 10 years?

What I’ve read of the solar quieting is it’s expected to last at least until 2035 at the earliest, 2050 more likely. Crop production could easily be shifted within a short time.

They are researching two specific criteria: “global” and “ten years”. IMO likely Yellowstone.


32 posted on 06/27/2016 9:25:19 AM PDT by Justa
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To: rktman
Ukraine had a food crisis. Russia managed it. You don't hear much about it, but the crisis eventually subsided.
33 posted on 06/27/2016 9:27:49 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: rktman

The biggest obstacle to food shortages is our endless over production.

That could easily go world-wide by simply adopting the American Model for Cheap Food for Consumers.


34 posted on 06/27/2016 9:48:14 AM PDT by Balding_Eagle ( The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
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To: rktman

American food prices declined more than 30% from 1970 through 2009, as a percentage of the average household budget.

The reason was that the American Farmer grows mountains of food, so much so that we can burn enormous amounts of it to fuel our cars and heat our homes, and still have mountains left to export.

Then, after the export markets are satisfied, we are left with the annual problem of what to do with all the surplus.


35 posted on 06/27/2016 9:53:59 AM PDT by Balding_Eagle ( The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
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To: rktman; All

I’ve got an idea -

Encourage the “growing movement” across the country of people growing some of their own food - from porch planters, roof tops, city lots and back yards to market gardens....

I.E. get back closer to how it was for thousands of years - even just 70 years ago in our country - when 86% of the people were rural - with gardens.

There’s a new-old movement afoot as people are educating themselves about what is in their food - and starting their own gardens and/or buying local/organic....

Leaving our food supply up to the gov’t is like climbing up on the stool and putting our neck in the noose for them to subjugate or kill off ... “Who controls the food, controls the people.” Despots rule of conquer - then get the guns

http://masterofhort.com/tag/yupneck/


36 posted on 06/27/2016 10:03:22 AM PDT by maine-iac7 (A Christian is as a Christian does - "By their works...")
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To: maine-iac7

Victory gardens. Yup.


37 posted on 06/27/2016 10:08:35 AM PDT by rktman (Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?!)
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To: Hieronymus

My math professor would mark my answer wrong if I used too many significant digits.


38 posted on 06/27/2016 10:17:18 AM PDT by sportutegrl
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To: sportutegrl; PUGACHEV

The one great thing about people not understanding significant digits is that it allows people who understand both significant digits and the field to quickly discard a fair bit of garbage.


39 posted on 06/27/2016 10:53:10 AM PDT by Hieronymus ( (It is terrible to contemplate how few politicians are hanged. --G. K. Chesterton))
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To: Cboldt
Ukraine had a food crisis. Russia managed it. You don't hear much about it, but the crisis eventually subsided.

AKA Holodomor...a purposeful starvation of the Ukranian farmers by the communists as a means of conquering them. When millions die, they stop being able to complain. See Holodomor

40 posted on 06/27/2016 11:15:05 AM PDT by Myrddin
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