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To: Hojczyk

This is why the MSM is saying BREXIT is bad for your 401k
They are scared to their core that this is more popular than polling indicates.

And it IS vastly popular even in Blue States


2 posted on 06/26/2016 11:05:17 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: Zathras

These polls are wildly inaccurate (at best) and both the polling firms and the media outlets know it.

Look at the Bexit vote in England. The “best” polls on the eve of that referendum suggested “stay” would win by 3-4 points, perhaps as many as five. Instead, “leave” won by a three point majority—that’s roughly a swing of six points between what the polls suggested and actual results on election day.

Dwindling use of landline phones and the availability of caller ID on cell phones has destroyed polling. Survey firms are finding it nearly impossible to build an accurate sample, since so many people in various groups will not answer if they think it’s a polling company or some sort of telemarketer. And if that’s not bad enough, most of these “polls” are still over-sampling Dims, in some cases, by as much as 8-10 points.

Look at the current round of polling. NBC/WSJ has Clinton up by one, while an ABC/Washington Post poll gives her a double-digit lead. If there is any degree of accuracy in the current methodology, there shouldn’t be that sort of margin. Equally hilarious is there insistence at giving Hillary a “slight lead” in state polls where the current gap is within the margin of error.

This goes way beyond the “secret” Zogby sauce we used to write and laugh about here on FR.


20 posted on 06/26/2016 1:25:30 PM PDT by ExNewsExSpook
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