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To: PA Engineer
Reuters shows results fo both "all respondents" and "likely voter".

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN0YP2EX

However, if the Reuters poll showed it a tie in mid May, and found Hillary double digits ahead now -- something is wrong with their poll. (The one in mid May, the one now, or both. IIRC Reuters was the first one to show Trump and Clinton essentially tied and I blew it off at the time.)

BTW, THIS is "Reuters Polling Explorer" methodology: http://thomsonreuters.com/en/articles/2013/new-interactive-tool-launched-reuters-polling-explorer.html:

"Instead of using telephones to gather results on a semi-regular basis, we partnered with the research firm Ipsos and opted to reach a huge number of mostly pre-screened respondents online. The result is that we have not only polled far more people than a traditional telephone survey can reach, but we've been polling continuously for more than a year and a half, asking hundreds of questions of about 11,000 people every month."

Caveat emptor. I'm not sure what this poll shows, or doesn't show.

140 posted on 06/03/2016 5:22:22 PM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Every nation has the government it deserves." - Joseph de Maistre (1753-1821))
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To: Sooth2222

This is exactly why Gallup exited the polling business.

You cannot get a scientifically-based random poll anymore that’s honest and reliable.

Reuters-Ipsos Internet poll is the exact opposite of a random poll.

The numbers simply aren’t believable.


141 posted on 06/03/2016 5:40:49 PM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: Sooth2222
THIS is "Reuters Polling Explorer" methodology.....Caveat emptor. I'm not sure what this poll shows, or doesn't show.

JMHO, it most resembles an adage I heard around the halls of Grad School:

"If you can't dazzle 'em with brilliance, baffle 'em with bullsh**."

...also JMHO, the BS runs very, very deep in this one.

159 posted on 06/03/2016 8:16:41 PM PDT by Unrepentant VN Vet (Smile. It'll drive people nuts trying to figure out what you know or have done.)
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