Posted on 05/19/2016 8:54:50 AM PDT by GilGil
Trump has pulled ahead of Clinton nationally in both the new FOX poll and the Rasmussen Poll. And Trump passed Clinton in favorability according to the newest national poll on that topic. The Megyn Kelly interview (including the hyping of it ahead of time) marked Trumps third-act turn.
By the way, Anderson Cooper of CNN said last night that CNN finds the FOX polling to be reliable and transparent, in case you wondered.
Meanwhile, Clinton is losing one primary after another to a dehydrated dandelion in her own party. That doesnt bode well for the coming cage fight with Godzilla.
(Excerpt) Read more at blog.dilbert.com ...
" Hillary: Women,Women,Women,Women,Women Trump: America,America,America, America"
“Im teeming with confirmation bias, but from my kitchen counter, I dont see how it can go any direction but a Trump landslide from here.”
It seems that a lot of things are breaking in Trump’s favor right now and that Team Hillary is falling apart.
Pray he doesn't scratch.
I wonder what his take is on that stupid Soros commercial with the women in Trump t-shirts lip-synching his words. I wonder if that’s an example of the “graduated exposure” that simply conditions people to get the impression that he’s already president. That commercial is on Fox News 24/7, I can only imagine how often they air it on MSDNC.
I’ve not seen the commercial!
Don't get overconfident about this election (not even the GOP convention). First, Cooper is correct that the Fox polling is reasonably good. That said, interpreting the results is always a challenge and particularly difficult this year. Some groups of voters are garrulous and always willing to talk; the challenge is getting them back on topic so you can finish the survey. Others hang up (if they answer at all). The percentage of Trump supporters who respond is likely very different from the
We used to mostly know how to convert polling results to meaningful predictions, but that has become increasingly difficult over the past eight years. This year, I think even the best professionals are as close to clueless as they have ever been.
I think America is going to find Donald Trump to be a fundamentally likeable person. They may not agree with him, but he comes across as a regular guy. Clinton is fundamentally unlikeable and comes across as a phony.
This could turn into a landslide.
It is extremely prevalent in the social sciences and, of course, climate science. Google Reproducibility Project. Basically, most social science studies, including in psychology, are irreproducible.
In the case of the Indiana polling the polling was pin point accuracy so was New York and many others.
It is not about being overconfident. Often using the word overconfident is code for stay on your ass and do nothing so nothing is risked.
Trump is talented on so many levels that he is overwhelming Team Hillary because she has no talent.
Seeing all these positive signs for Trump means that you pummel Hillary’s weaknesses mercilessly to finish her off once and for all. It is not about overconficence.
But they want to put you in jail or worse if you contradict them.
The message in that commercial is that angry, bitter, unattractive women hate Trump. And so should you. LOL.
Scratching is for amateurs. Trump is anything but an amateur.
Well it’s true. Hillary supporters are bitter and unattractive. I take that back. They are downright ugly,ugly,ugly.
But no, he had to go for the straight in to the side with no back spin. Amateur!
Shoulda shot the six with a little bottom right, come back for the seven with a little reverse, pop the four with a little follow, then eight in the corner.
But no, he had to go for the straight in to the side with no back spin. Amateur!
_____________________________
If you are going to shoot straight in you better no how to spin. Amateurs simply do not. Trump is the master of spin.
Comes from years of misspent youth.
“It is not about being overconfident. Often using the word overconfident is code for stay on your ass and do nothing so nothing is risked.”
So there will be none of the “it’s my turn” or “it’s in the bag” kind of behavior from the Trump campaign. Sitting on his ass is not in Trump’s DNA, which explains very well why he has been such an incredible success in business. Now he’s applying that same work ethic to politics, against people who’ve never seen him operate before.
To paraphrase General George S. Patton, Jr.: “You know, by God, I actually pity those poor bastards we’re going up against. By God, I do. We’re not just going to outcampaign the bastards. We’re going to cut them off from their traditional voters and use them to install a bunch of new Republicans. We’re going to murder those lousy Dem bastards by the bushel.”
You're right he's no amateur but so many have said he's not a professional politician.
Und der Haifisch, der hat Zähne,
Und die trägt er im Gesicht.
Und Macheath, der hat ein Messer,
Doch das Messer sieht man nicht.
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