[NYRepublican72]

What you need to know about the Indiana Primary
1) Edison Research is conducting exit polls throughout Indiana, so expect a call quickly after 7 pm Eastern if a candidate has a substantial lead. Expect the initial exit poll data to stream into media outlets at about 5 pm Eastern.

2) Indiana is an open primary. Members of any political party, including Democrats, could choose a Republican primary ballot.

3) The polls traditionally close first in the nation on Election Day in Indiana. Tuesday is no different. Most of the state, including Indianapolis closing at 6 p.m. Eastern. However, the state will not projected until after 7 pm as the parts of the state south of Chicago (Gary) and the southern counties of the state (Evansville) close are in the Central Time Zone.

4) Trump was in front in 7 of the 8 Indiana polls released in April. The only outlier was an IPFW/Downs Center poll conducted over a two-week time frame from April 13 to April 27, where Cruz sported a 16-point edge.

5) To the victor will go the spoils. As a reliably Republican state, Indiana is in the unique position of being a large-ish state that has more statewide plus RNC plus bonus delegates (30) than they do Congressional District delegates (27 delegates (9 districts times 3 delegates)). This means whomever wins the state is guaranteed a base of 30 delegates and realistically should take at least 45 (more likely 48-54) of the 57 total delegates.

6) If Trump wins the Hoosier state, the electoral path of the #NeverTrump movement gets even narrower as the Donald would likely need just 70-80 or so delegates of the 172 available in California (if you include the Pennsylvania unpledged slate of 40 or so pro-Trump delegates) or 110-120 or so to notch the nomination with solely pledged delegates.



This projection assumes that Trump wins New Jersey’s 51 delegate slate, takes 30 of the 36 delegates in West Virginia on May 10 and gets a conservative 40 delegates from the proportional states of Washington, Oregon and New Mexico.

Sourcing

For primary dates and times:

Official GOP websites for states.

For delegate allocation:

 The Green Papers

 Frontloading Blogspot

For polling data:

Real Clear Politics 

Election night data
 The New York Times (including exit poll data)
 Ace of Spades Decision Desk - Indiana GOP
 Indiana Secretary of State

[RightGeek]

Bernie is catching up

[DoughtyOne]

Maybe there was a reason the Trump folks tried to tell others Tead was in trouble after the South voted.

[Salvation]

Bumping the Live Election thread.

Do not post to the press conference thread.

[DoughtyOne]

Trump was right. I’m so damned tired of winning.

Win, win, win..., that’s all Trump does.

I’m sick of it!

/s

LOL

[TomGuy]

Well, that's it.

Trump's candidacy will be over by July August September October November December January February March April May June, for sure.

==

[Salvation]

Does anyone have the decision desk link.

I like it because it shows all the country voting.

[TomGuy]

Freebie is calling for a $15 minimum wage.

[Hey, Bernie, when wages are increased, so the prices on goods and services rise, too. Duh! Thus, at $15/hour, many are still going to be ‘low wage’ earners.]

[Donglalinger]

Carly Failarino, the typhoid mary of politics

[hirn_man]

CNN website is now showing Trump with 51 delegates won.

[Buttons12]

46percent reporting, Sanders 52, Clinton 47percent.

[Donglalinger]

How many words before he says Donald?