2) Indiana is an open primary. Members of any political party, including Democrats, could choose a Republican primary ballot.
3) The polls traditionally close first in the nation on Election Day in Indiana. Tuesday is no different. Most of the state, including Indianapolis closing at 6 p.m. Eastern. However, the state will not projected until after 7 pm as the parts of the state south of Chicago (Gary) and the southern counties of the state (Evansville) close are in the Central Time Zone.
4) Trump was in front in 7 of the 8 Indiana polls released in April. The only outlier was an IPFW/Downs Center poll conducted over a two-week time frame from April 13 to April 27, where Cruz sported a 16-point edge.
5) To the victor will go the spoils. As a reliably Republican state, Indiana is in the unique position of being a large-ish state that has more statewide plus RNC plus bonus delegates (30) than they do Congressional District delegates (27 delegates (9 districts times 3 delegates)). This means whomever wins the state is guaranteed a base of 30 delegates and realistically should take at least 45 (more likely 48-54) of the 57 total delegates.
6) If Trump wins the Hoosier state, the electoral path of the #NeverTrump movement gets even narrower as the Donald would likely need just 70-80 or so delegates of the 172 available in California (if you include the Pennsylvania unpledged slate of 40 or so pro-Trump delegates) or 110-120 or so to notch the nomination with solely pledged delegates.
This projection assumes that Trump wins New Jersey’s 51 delegate slate, takes 30 of the 36 delegates in West Virginia on May 10 and gets a conservative 40 delegates from the proportional states of Washington, Oregon and New Mexico.
Sourcing
For primary dates and times:
Official GOP websites for states.
For delegate allocation:
The Green Papers
Frontloading Blogspot
For polling data:
Real Clear Politics
Election night data
The New York Times (including exit poll data)
Ace of Spades Decision Desk - Indiana GOP
Indiana Secretary of State
CNN
ETZ poll results
Trump 61%
Cruz 24%
Kasich 12%
Clinton 64%
Sanders 36%
It is nice to have a primary in which the polls close early for this sick and tired middle-aged viewer.
| Trump | 14,208 | 54% |
| Cruz | 8,449 | 32% |
| Kasich | 2,984 | 11% |
He's Tead Jim...
| Trump | 16,196 | 54% |
| Cruz | 9,677 | 32% |
| Kasich | 3,320 | 11% |
| Trump | 24,965 | 53% |
| Cruz | 15,665 | 33% |
| Kasich | 5,032 | 11% |
All we are saying, is give Tead a chance..." The vigil continues...
names were change and identities switched to protect the innocent...
| Trump | 28,091 | 53% |
| Cruz | 17,769 | 33% |
| Kasich | 5,727 | 11% |
Is Cruz going to give a victory speech tonight and announce his cabinet?
CNN is projecting odds and right now they are saying 98% odds that Trump wins.
I celebrate every primary win with Wienerschnitzel Hot Dogs, I better get my car key....
| Trump | 50,430 | 54% |
| Cruz | 30,373 | 33% |
| Kasich | 9,533 | 10% |
Tead Cruz, the master of this election cycle is now surging in reverse, just to show off.
Called for Trump at exactly 7:00 on CNN!
77.2% are voting AGAINST you, Ted. Time to call it quits, Ted.
Time for Cruz to concede.
NYTimes
calls it for Trump with initial 45 delegates. [More may be added as precincts are counted.]