Posted on 04/28/2016 8:53:33 AM PDT by COUNTrecount
For the last month or so, Donald Trumps path to 1,237 delegates has been clear: Win Indiana and California.
But after his strong showings in the Northeast, Indiana no longer seems to be a must-win state to capture the Republican nomination.
Sure, winning the state would be very helpful toward gaining a majority of delegates. Without Indiana, he would struggle to get the 1,237 bound delegates needed to wrap up the nomination heading into the convention. But theres now a credible path to winning on the first ballot without it.
The main reason is Mr. Trumps success on Tuesday among Pennsylvanias 54 unpledged delegates. Even though none of them are officially bound to a candidate, 31 of the 54 spots went to delegates preferred by Mr. Trump. And before the election, others had said they would vote for the winner of their district (Mr. Trump won all of the states districts). My colleague Jeremy W. Peters reported that Mr. Trump appeared to have won about 40 of Pennsylvanias 54 unbound delegates. If this holds, the delegate math is a little different than what you might have read . Thats because my analysis and that of others included only pledged delegates; the 54 unpledged delegates were held out of Mr. Trumps path to 1,237.
If he has indeed moved many of those delegates off the sideline and into his territory, it obviates the necessity for him to win Indiana, which is worth 57 delegates . He would still need a comfortable victory in California enough to win about 130 of the states 172 delegates in the event of a loss in Indiana. He could bring that figure as low as 115 with good outcomes in West Virginia, Oregon, Washington and New Mexico, or with a few additional districts in Indiana.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
He's still drawing a $400k salary + benfits, as long as he stays in the race.
“All very sad”
Is it?
Lot’s of us had hopes for this guy, the problem is they were based on an incomplete picture. Still haven’t seen it all, but I’ve seen enough and I’m not sad at all.
Aside from the song of globalism quote, the greatest point of that part of the speech is this...
The nation-state remains the true foundation of happiness and harmony.
And I want to see people like Mark Levin argue against it? Why? Because of this!!!!
Against the insidious wiles of foreign influences...the jealousy of a free people ought to be consistently awake; since history and the experience prove that foreign influence is one of the most baneful foes of republican government. George Washington.
Excellent post!
They cant win, and they know it.
If I were Trumps team, I would hammer it home, making people aware that the Cruz camp is out to destroy everything they come in contact with.
forged his own chains.
Where, outside of FR and Trump campaign headquarters (and now John Boehner interviews), do you see Ted Cruz vilified like this? And I mean exactly like this in vile uncivilized terms unworthy of FR?
John W., Ted destroyed himself.
I didn’t do it.
If you wish to blame it on FR, or me, go ahead.
It’s not important to me if you have a connection to reality or not.
I don’t happen to think he’s destroyed and neither does the rest of the world. That’s the point.
The GOP establishment does not get it...but fears it.
The democrat establishment does not get it...but fears it.
The MSM does not get it...but fears it.<<<<
Do you know what you just said here?
In essence you just said that the American People DO have the power to enact change through legal, peaceful means. We are not helpless or hopeless.
That’s encouraging, and it’s exactly what Americans need to remember and focus on.
And it’s the very core of what the politicians listed, fear.
That mean to Cruz VP “singing Carly” :)
Indiana will go for Trump—if he wins with 51% it will be enough. Cruz was a fool to select Carly and she was a fool to accept. Still, if Trump stumbles, get sick, or dies Cruz might have a chance.
Not destroyed. And the Boehner endorsement as it was given is being ridiculed nationwide.
John W, you are delusional.
That’s okay. If you choose to believe Tead hasn’t destroyed himself, go ahead.
If you wish to think a sitting U. S. Senator that is now in cahoots with Kasich, Fiorina, and the GOPe, is the anti-establishment man you want, then go for it.
If you wish to believe a guy who can’t grasp issues of the First Amendment, States Rights, or who is a great candidate to be the Chief Justice of the SCOTUS, then go for it.
If you wish to believe he is a fulfillment of Mormon prophecy, then go for it.
If you think it’s presidential to run around with a man that has talked of stabbing another political candidate over and over and over... then go for it.
BTW: He brought on Fiorina to help him win California. The voters of California rejected her to be their state Senator, yet he bought off on them thinking she was vice-presidential material.
This guy is so far out to lunch, he won’t be back to work by next September.
How was Carly nominated in CA for US Senator?
Hey, I am in the real world and lying Ted is not eligible to hold the office of president. How dare you mess with our Constitution.
If only more sterling Cruz supporters followed your sterling example, Jeff.
You know how it works John.
At some point Tead would have to run with her in the state on a ticket that would lose, providing he could get the chance.
He won’t.
He’s that damaged.
Take a look at this map John. Tell me what you see east of the Western border of the state on the Western side of the Mississippi river.
http://www.hotr.us/fr/delmap.png
First he blamed his losses on lack of Christians. That didn’t work.
Then he blamed his losses on open primaries. He just lost five closed ones, every single county in five states. That didn’t work.
And you don’t think he’s been destroyed.
How many delegates did he just get, 5?
Trump got the better part of 172.
Cruz got has non viable any way you wish to look at it.
It’s over. Further, he’ll be lucky to remain senator the next time he’s up for re-election.
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