I didn’t call you stupid for saying Cruz would lose Wisconsin when the objective data says otherwise. Instead, I showed you the objective data. But, being a Trumpeter, you can’t help but respond with name-calling. You say the person with the highest unfavorables ever in history is going to landslide to victory. It’s not debatable because it’s a religious belief.
I did not call you any names, as you clearly did at me, I said there was stupidity in the conversation itself. That’s not a personal name call.
You seem to think that data points are static, and you also seem to think they are guaranteed to be major predictors.
There are so many things about this election cycle that have gone against every ounce of “conventional wisdom” that any attempt to argue that conventional wisdom based on this data point proves anything about the outcome is silly on its face.
Conventional Wisdom would have concluded the election was Jeb vs Clinton a year ago... did it happen?
I’ve watched Cruz backers find baseless argument after baseless argument trying to claim conventional wisdom says....
Remember the whole: Trump only wins in open primaries??
Sorry, but until something comes to pass, it is debatable, and its your closed mindedness that has caused you and others that back Cruz to remotely understand what is going on this election cycle and why your candidate continues to get his butt handed to him, again and again.
The reality is the real question that needs to be asked is simply this, which state do you or anyone else expect Trump to lose that are sure things for any republican to win? And when you step back and analyze the situation the reality is, Trump won’t cause any red state to turn blue. The question is who is more competitive in the purple and the blue states.
OH and FL are going red this cycle no matter who the candidate is, that’s a pretty solid prediction... So what is your election going to be? Another Rovesque, attempt to slip a minor win with hopefully a greater GOTV effort in a handful of states and pray that holds for a Cruz or a Kasich, or do you run with someone who has shown repeatedly they enjoy broad support and are expanding the base?
You can keep your belief that life is static, and nothing changes, its worked so well for Cruz and his backers to make these arguments for the last 9 months or so.