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To: Hostage

Do you think Trump and Kasich can win NY in the general? Assuming Kasich is the VP. Do you think Cruz voters will rush to that ticket in Nov? TWO non-conservatives?


40 posted on 04/19/2016 8:35:50 PM PDT by txhurl (Unity: we can take ALL the marbles now. It's now or never.)
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To: txhurl

There are Cruz voters? Not in Colorado and Wyoming.


60 posted on 04/19/2016 8:47:09 PM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject)
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To: txhurl; BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

This was covered a long, long time ago. It was put to bed by conservatives in NYC.

Trump is not going to take NY State in the general. No republican is going to take NY State in the general. NY State goes as NYC goes which is democrat.

If any republican had a chance to take NY State, it would be Donald Trump. If Donald were to take NY State in the general, the election would be over.

NY State is not needed to win the presidential election.

Now what was your point?

Here’s the only point for now:

Trump now has won 89 delegates in NY, up from 84 a little while ago. His total is now 845. He may pickup 3 more as Kasich now has 3.

On April 26, there will be 172 GOP delegates up for grabs all in Donald Trump strongholds. Donald should take at least 140 of those putting his total about 995.

In May, 199 delegates will be up for grabs, and Donald should take at least half of those putting his total at 1094.

On June 7, 303 delegates are up for grabs including 223 from California and NJ. Donald should take most if not all of NJ and at least half from California or about 136 for both, and a quarter of the remaining 80 delegates or 20 to bring his total for June 7 to 156, and a total to date of 1250 to clinch the nomination.

But then there is added insurance. There are 323 unbound delegates from candidates that have dropped out or from states that leave them unbound. There are 41 days between June 7 and the Convention in which candidates are expected to talk to the unbound delegates and secure pledges. Donald Trump is certain to get at least a third of these delegates and most likely many more.

By these relatively conservative calculations, Donald Trump should easily top 1300 delegates prior to the Convention. The media has been feeding a narrative that it’s going to be a very close show because doing so creates excitement and tension. But this math has been known for many, many months.

As for the general, Donald Trump hasn’t even begun with Hillary. When his campaign aims their guns at her, she will fall and lose. She will win NY but she will lose the crucial battleground states. That math is known as well.

Donald Trump will be the 45th President of the United States.


101 posted on 04/19/2016 9:25:54 PM PDT by Hostage (ARTICLE V)
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To: txhurl
Yes, defending U.S. sovereignty, building up the military, ending Obamacare, controlling our borders, aren't conservative issues.
134 posted on 04/19/2016 10:44:04 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: txhurl
Do you think Cruz voters will rush to that ticket in Nov? TWO non-conservatives?

Good thing there are not man of them.

139 posted on 04/19/2016 10:54:02 PM PDT by itsahoot (Trump is a fumble mouthed blowhard that can't finish a sentence, but he will finish a term.)
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