Posted on 04/19/2016 8:15:06 PM PDT by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
This was covered a long, long time ago. It was put to bed by conservatives in NYC.
Trump is not going to take NY State in the general. No republican is going to take NY State in the general. NY State goes as NYC goes which is democrat.
If any republican had a chance to take NY State, it would be Donald Trump. If Donald were to take NY State in the general, the election would be over.
NY State is not needed to win the presidential election.
Now what was your point?
Here’s the only point for now:
Trump now has won 89 delegates in NY, up from 84 a little while ago. His total is now 845. He may pickup 3 more as Kasich now has 3.
On April 26, there will be 172 GOP delegates up for grabs all in Donald Trump strongholds. Donald should take at least 140 of those putting his total about 995.
In May, 199 delegates will be up for grabs, and Donald should take at least half of those putting his total at 1094.
On June 7, 303 delegates are up for grabs including 223 from California and NJ. Donald should take most if not all of NJ and at least half from California or about 136 for both, and a quarter of the remaining 80 delegates or 20 to bring his total for June 7 to 156, and a total to date of 1250 to clinch the nomination.
But then there is added insurance. There are 323 unbound delegates from candidates that have dropped out or from states that leave them unbound. There are 41 days between June 7 and the Convention in which candidates are expected to talk to the unbound delegates and secure pledges. Donald Trump is certain to get at least a third of these delegates and most likely many more.
By these relatively conservative calculations, Donald Trump should easily top 1300 delegates prior to the Convention. The media has been feeding a narrative that it’s going to be a very close show because doing so creates excitement and tension. But this math has been known for many, many months.
As for the general, Donald Trump hasn’t even begun with Hillary. When his campaign aims their guns at her, she will fall and lose. She will win NY but she will lose the crucial battleground states. That math is known as well.
Donald Trump will be the 45th President of the United States.
Post #101 lays it out pretty much as Paul Manafort and Barry Bennett have.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3422740/posts?page=101#101
Are you sure about that?
https://www.google.com/?gws_rd=ssl#q=ny+primary+election+2016&eob=m.059rby/R/2/short/m.059rby/
Republicans only had 800K in their primary,
Democrats had 1.7 million voters.
Trump dropped the chance to recruit more republicans to the primary.
Many expressed frustration at not being to vote as a republican. Trump should have signed the folks up before the primary.
Check my posting history. I have said that will support Trump in the general if it comes to that.
Do you wantonly attack allies? How does this help Trump in the fall?
Fast, and clever.
And what would it prove if I were a big FR donator? Really, what would it prove?
You said “cRuz” couldn’t get elected again in Texas. Really? I have friends and family in Texas who would disagree with you on that. I tend to think that they are right and you are wrong, intentionally. So, what does that mean?
If you bothered to check any of my previous posts, you would see that I am not terribly happy with the choice of candidates left for the GOP primary, as I have said many times (this is checkable). But I do know a couple of things: 1) Cruz is the most politically conservative candidate left. 2) Kasich is truly GOPe. 3) Trump, whatever he is, is not a conservative; and likes to destroy others rather than build a positive case for his own candidacy. That said, I would vote for any of them before voting for Hillary or even not voting.
Those who say never Trump or never Cruz might just as well say, “Hillary forever,” because that will be the reality.
But even most of his supporters don’t think he is conservative.<<<<<<
Really? Which ones?
Remember, the key word is ‘most’.
Go away, troll.
I supported my Senator cRuz, in his Senate run...as a donor and volunteer.
I also initially supported his Prez run....until I - like others - began to research and learn about just who this faux CONservative is and is all about.
Like I said...I will be surprised if Lyin Ted is even able to get re-elected, for anything, in TX. He didn’t even disclose to Texans that he was a Canadian citizen, when he ran for Senator.
There is not a dimes worth of difference between Lyin Ted and cRooked Hellary.
Now....go away. Go back to the hole that you crawled out of.
“Informed people have realized ...”
So, you are one of the illuminati and I am not.
I now have 89 Trump, 3 Kasich, 0 Cruz.
Post #101 lays out the rest pretty much as Paul Manafort and Barry Bennett have it:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3422740/posts?page=101#101
Guess we’ll see what happens - leftist CNN has it the same way at the moment.
I meant to also say thanks on that update.
Jeff Sessions is a real conservative and he has nothing to do with Cruz.
Amen Jane. I followed you in awakening to what was a facade. It was not easy, but time and observation eventually led to the reality you describe.
How I wish Cruz had done the honorable thing. He has lost all trust.
;-)
Yes...we’ve been on quite the journey.
Pray folks wake up, fast!!
Yes, well, Sessions is not running for president. But he is a conservative, I will agree. He is also a pretty smart guy. He figures Trump is going to be the winner, and he is probably right. So, he angles for a position of influence with Trump by giving him (relatively) early support. Well, I hope he can influence him, because Trump will need to be influenced by conservatives and educated by them, since he is NOT a conservative. Or, if he is, he has only recently become one, because he does not know how to talk the talk, which is, of course, what makes me doubt that he will walk the walk.
Call me a skeptic.
Yeah, well, who are and have been Trump’s friends? I’m sorry, I just don’t but it. If I turn out to be wrong, I can live with it. But I fear I am not.
“that is because most new yorkers can smell a lying piece of crap at 1000 yards. that is why:”
Hillary got way more votes than Trump.
He can only do selection, notvp election.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.