“I will say something you may not like: If Cruz were to prevail in a contested convention, one where Trump is barely short and Cruz is close to six hundred short, the GOP might as well say president Hillary right now, because it’s going to lose in a landslide.”
I don’t disagree, at all on that point. Except that Joe Biden will be the nominee, since Hillary WILL get indicted.
Regarding the numbers, I think Trump will fall short about 150-200 and Cruz will be around 100-150 behind him. And I think Rubio will throw his delegates behind Cruz from day one, which (when added together) beats Trump.
In such a scenario, that’s what a convention is for.
Insofar as Hillary's indictment, I kind of doubt that will happen. Strange to say, I think it depends on how bad her poll numbers are. She's a really bad candidate, boring and witchy at the same time, not well liked. If they think she'll be blown out, they'll indict her and replace her. Unfotunately for them, they have even worse back up candidates than the GOP does, so they have a problem.