744 now +
77 NY = 821 +
17 PA + 22 CT + 16 DE + 32 MD + 6 RI = 914 +
45 IN + 20 WV + 0 NE + 5 OR/WA = 984
130 CA + 51 NJ + 10 NM + 51 MT/SD = 1226 +
12 MO (now certified) = 1238
The California and MT/SD estimates seem high, IMHO. Trump has not fared well in the high Plains and Mountain states. But there will be the 54 uncommitted PA delegates, as well as 9 from American Samoa.
This is going to be VERY close.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/gop/3418959/posts?page=18#18
I predict NY 71 and California 96.
My total is 167 but I still get Trump at around 1,240.
You are higher than me at 207 total for those two. I hope your CA number is more accurate.
I’m also adding in 64 of 129 uncommitted delegates for almost 50%.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/can-you-get-trump-to-1237/
I think he’s bringing a couple of alpha male actors on the trail in Cali.
Will voter anger turn some officially uncommitted delegates such as in Colorado to Trump? It’s beginning to sound like they’ll have a real hard time returning home if they vote for Cruz.