Probably correct, but Utah, Wisconsin, Colorado, and now Wyoming... Since MAR 22, Cruz is up 120-6. There could be some more surprises coming up, but the Liberal States (NY, MD, CT) are likely going to hand the delegates to Trump. Trump has NEVER topped 50%, even with the field down to 2.5 candidates. It isn’t until his home state, 75% of the way through the contest, with only 1.5 opponents, and in very Liberal states, that he has a chance to do so. That’s not very encouraging.
It has been nice keeping the loudest Trumpeters quiet for a few weeks, though.
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A new national poll has Hillary below 50% now. No one seems to talk about that and that is with only 2 candidates.
The best chart I saw tracked the head-to-head results going back to JAN, and she hasn’t topped 50% much at all. She was behind Cruz for most of JAN-FEB, but they’ve been within the margin of error since. She was crushing Trump JAN-FEB, then they were basically tied for most of MAR, but now she tops him by 10 points again. I wish I could find that interactive chart again. It was well-done.