Cruz is down by 200 delegates. About 24% behind.
But Trump needs over 60% winning of remaining delegates to wrap this thing up.
That’s not going to happen, especially since he has been winning states with only about 37% of the vote so far.
Mathmatically, Trump would have to just BLOW things out of the water and reverse his entire campaign’s course to win it outright.
Obviously its even more challenging for Cruz. Like 90-95% win rate of remaining delegates. Practically impossible.
But given the situation, if you were playing a basketball game and were in the 3rd quarter, and the opposition had to increase their winning percentage by 150% in order to win, would you give up? Not a perfect analogy, really the closest sport to the situation would likely be cricket or something with a minimum set runs/points to win, but you get the idea right?
Cruz would be flat out insane to throw in the towel at this point. He is not helping the GOPe, he is trying to win his nomination. In the process, he has been picking off delegates at the state conventions, secureing Cruz people for 2nd/3rd ballot votes...
Trump will lose in the convention if he doesn’t win beforehand. Cruz, will not.
It is a essentially a tie once Cruz grabs the unbound and Rubio delegates.
Trump does NOT need 1237 delegates. 1237 is a phony fabricated number. 1000 = win. 900 = win.
When GOPE appoints a ‘winner’, he will have maybe 4% popular vote, equivalent to 10 real delegates.
10 appointed delegates = 1237 fraud delegates.
Delegate is NOT in the US Constitution
because Delegate = Fraud!
Well, Cruz is in a helluva lot worse shape. He has no path whatsoever. He’s in the same ballgame as Kasich, Carson, Rubio, Bush, Fiorina, Walker, Paul, et al, who all dropped out (or should have—Kasich). When you’re an ANTI-ESTABLISHMENT candidate and you’ve lost a primary battle—per the voters—to the only other ANTI-ESTABLISHMENT candidate in the race or have become mathematically unviable to the point that continuing risks handing the nomination over to an ESTABLISHMENT LOSER and or risks destroying your party and your country, then the honorable thing to do would be to concede, congratulate and unite behind the frontrunner and ensure that he gets the delegates and the nomination and unites the party to defeat the godless socialists in November.
Remember why we’re doing this?