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To: stocksthatgoup
Trump has 755 and needs 482
Cruz has 521 and needs 716

There are 798 remaining

Trump needs 60.4% of the remaining delegates.***
Cruz needs 89.7% of the remaining delegates.***

*** to win on the first roll call.

There have been many conventions that went past the first roll call. This one will too. Cruz will win on the second roll call because the delegates have seen how Trump has handled himself during this campaign and will not support him.

Go to the 270towin interactive calculator and see for yourself.

It will end up about 1050 Trump 880 Cruz, 220 Kasich, 180 Rubio + 140 unpledged going into the convention.

On the first roll call, Cruz will get the vast majority of the unpledged delegates making it about 1060 Trump to 1000 Cruz.

On the second roll call, Cruz will get 180 from Kasich, 150 from Rubio and probably 200 from Trump. He will walk away with it easily after the send roll call.

Acting like an asshole, belittling people, bullying people, threatening people, making fun of people and talking about the size of your penis may be a good strategy for attracting attention and getting some free media coverage. Unfortunately for Donald, it is not a winning political strategy.

Now, go cry yourself to sleep.

87 posted on 04/13/2016 12:27:49 PM PDT by nitzy (I don't vote for Republican'ts)
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To: nitzy
Under your scenario, Trump would cut a deal to make Kasich VP and add his 220 delegates to Trump's 1050 and that would kick the tally up to 1270.

Game over.

This was suggested today by Randy Evans of the RNC on NPR. If Trump doesn't hit 1237 before the convention, this is what the RNC is planning for.

104 posted on 04/13/2016 12:40:54 PM PDT by RoosterRedux (When a man loves cats, I am his friend and comrade, without further introduction. - Mark Twain)
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To: nitzy

If the party members choose to override the popular will of the people at the convention, millions of voters will rebel in the Fall, which will hand the White House to the Democrat.

Such an outcome will also severely impact down-ticket congressional races across the country. The Dems could very well wind up winning a trifecta.


108 posted on 04/13/2016 12:42:33 PM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: nitzy
Cruz will win on the second roll call because the delegates have seen how Trump has handled himself during this campaign and will not support him.

That's the biggest load of cow flop I've seen in the last hour. It was Trump who was threatened, belittled, mocked and attacked repeatedly 24/7 by all the right enemies since the day he announced on 6/16/2015.

This is no secret to anyone except maybe you.

111 posted on 04/13/2016 12:46:04 PM PDT by dragnet2 (Diversion and evasion are tools of deceit)
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To: nitzy

“It will end up about 1050 Trump 880 Cruz,”

Where are you getting 880 for Cruz ...I gave him every delegate from IN, NE, MT, SD and even gave him all 24 for NM, even though the state is a toss-up right now. I get 718 delegates. Cruz will be in the hole by 500 delegates.

Using BS math may make you feel like a smart political pundit, unfortunately, it just makes you look foolish. Truth is you don’t know what you talking about.

Having dreams about winning is not the same as the reality that hits you when you wake.


113 posted on 04/13/2016 12:46:47 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: nitzy

Hello President Clinton


115 posted on 04/13/2016 12:47:39 PM PDT by Sybeck1 (A vote for Ted Cruz is a vote for Paul Ryan)
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To: nitzy; stocksthatgoup

119 posted on 04/13/2016 12:50:25 PM PDT by Veracious Poet (RIP America 1776-2008)
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To: nitzy

You really think the GOPe will make Elmer Gantry the nominee?


121 posted on 04/13/2016 12:51:15 PM PDT by nclaurel
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