If the committee does their act, and passes him onto a full vote, at best...I think the guy would get the 44 Democrat votes, the two independent votes, and two to five Republican votes...giving you a max of 51. You need sixty.
Now, I read yesterday that at least two Democrat Senators want a rule change where it only takes 51 to pass a Supreme Court nominee. The odds of a rule change right now? Zero. The Republicans might grin and say they would be willing to change the rules...by making it a passage of one single Senator. I’m pretty sure that the Democrats don’t want that to occur, but it would be a humor moment.
Candidate number two? By June, and maybe seven or eight Republicans might go for that deal. Beyond that...the Republicans are finished as a party if they pass this group of guys under President Obama after all their talk.
I’m sorry to disagree, but that sort of nice calculating and trimming of the sails to avoid negative media comment is what got us here.
The best answer is the Biden Rule. The ‘Rats called the tune. Make them dance to it. It’s still possible for Republicans to earn some respect from a few voters, if they would just get a backbone.